The Ultimate Beginners Guide to Gold Investing: Everything You Need to Know

Gold has captivated the human imagination for thousands of years. Across empires and economies, it has retained its status as a symbol of wealth, power, and permanence. In the modern era, gold remains a cornerstone of financial strategy for many investors. It is widely recognized as a hedge against inflation, a safe haven asset during times of economic distress, and a powerful tool for portfolio diversification.

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Illustration 1: Gold has been a status assets as far back as ancient Egypt

Perhaps the most striking testament to gold’s enduring value is a comparison drawn across 2,000 years of history: the salary of a Roman soldier, paid in gold coins, was roughly equivalent in gold weight to what a modern Western soldier earns in a year today.

While currencies have changed, empires have fallen, and financial systems have been overhauled, the amount of gold needed to sustain a soldier’s life, covering food, clothing, weapons, and shelter, has remained nearly constant. This suggests that gold has not increased in value over time but has rather preserved value while paper currencies have steadily lost purchasing power.

One of the primary reasons investors turn to gold is its historical role in preserving wealth during periods of inflation or currency devaluation. Unlike paper money, which can be printed at will by central banks, gold has a finite supply and cannot be created by decree. This scarcity lends it intrinsic value. When the purchasing power of fiat currencies declines, whether due to loose monetary policy, excessive debt, or political instability, gold tends to hold its value, and often appreciates.

Illustration 2: The amount of gold a Roman Soldier got was equal to the amount of money of a modern soldier

Gold is also considered a safe haven asset. In times of geopolitical tension, banking crises, or stock market meltdowns, investors often rush to gold for security.

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Illustration 3: Gold bars, popular as a safe heaven

It is not tied to the solvency of governments or the profitability of corporations, making it uniquely resilient during systemic shocks. Furthermore, gold exhibits low correlation with traditional financial assets like stocks and bonds, making it an excellent tool for portfolio diversification.


Another appealing aspect of gold is its tangibility. In a world of digital finance and intangible investments, gold is a real, physical asset that one can touch, store, and pass down through generations. This physicality, combined with universal recognition, makes gold a uniquely trusted asset.

The most direct way to invest in gold is by purchasing physical gold. This includes coins, bars, and bullion that you own outright. Gold coins, such as the American Gold Eagle, the Canadian Maple Leaf, and the South African Krugerrand, are popular among investors due to their government minting and international recognition. These coins usually come in sizes ranging from one-tenth of an ounce to one full ounce and are often made of 22-karat or 24-karat gold.

1 oz Canadian Maple Leaf Gold Coin - Tavex Norway

Illustration 4: A Canadian Maple Leaf gold coin, one of the most popular gold coins.

For those looking to make larger investments, gold bars or ingots may be more efficient. These come in a wide range of weights, from small 1-gram bars to the standard 400-ounce “Good Delivery” bars used by central banks and bullion vaults. Larger bars typically carry lower premiums per gram compared to coins, making them more cost-effective for serious investors.

It’s important to understand the distinction between bullion and numismatic coins. Bullion refers to gold purchased for its metal content, whereas numismatic coins are collectible items that carry additional value due to their rarity, historical significance, or artistic design. For most investors, bullion is preferable because its value is more directly tied to the market price of gold and it is easier to sell.

It is also worth that based on the country you live in, it can have different tax consequences if you invest in a gold coin or bar. In a lot of countries gold coins are exempt from tax while gold bars are not.

Chemical and Physical Properties of Gold

Illustration 5: Raw gold

When purchasing physical gold, it is essential to buy from reputable sources. Authorized dealers, both online and in-person, often offer competitive prices and authentication guarantees. They are usually certified by national mints or international associations such as the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA). Online platforms like APMEX, Kitco, and JM Bullion also offer wide selections, secure shipping, and customer support.

In some countries, the central banks or national mints do sell gold bullion, coins, or bars directly to individuals. Examples include: The Monetary Authority of Singapore has previously supported gold programs (e.g. via UOB), and retail banks may offer gold products, The Swiss National Bank does not sell gold, but the Swiss Mint (controlled by the Swiss government) sells commemorative and bullion coins.


The Austrian Mint (a subsidiary of the central bank, Oesterreichische Nationalbank) sells gold coins like the Vienna Philharmonic directly to the public, The Royal Canadian Mint, a Crown corporation, sells gold bars and coins such as the Gold Maple Leaf via its website and authorized dealers, the South African Reserve Bank previously issued Krugerrands but now works through subsidiaries and dealers.

Visit the Mint | The Royal Canadian Mint

Illustration 6: The Royal Canadian Mint which sells gold through their website

Some banks and financial institutions also sell gold, particularly in countries where gold ownership is more common. However, these offerings are typically limited and may come with higher premiums. Private transactions, such as those conducted through pawn shops or local dealers, carry a higher risk of counterfeiting or overpricing, and should only be conducted with thorough due diligence.

When buying gold, investors should also be aware of pricing terms. The gold “spot price” is the live price for one troy ounce of gold on the global market. Dealers typically charge a premium over this price to cover fabrication, handling, and profit margin.

Once purchased, physical gold must be stored safely. Home storage is a common method, especially for smaller holdings. This typically involves using a secure, fireproof safe and keeping the gold in a discreet location. While home storage provides direct access to your assets, it also entails security risks, including theft and fire, and may not be fully covered by standard homeowner’s insurance.

Another common option is storing gold in a safe deposit box at a bank. While this offers higher security, access can be restricted during bank closures or crises, and the contents may not be insured unless specifically arranged.

Another option is third-party professional storage. Private vault companies such as Brinks, Loomis, and ViaMat offer high-security, fully insured storage solutions. These facilities often provide allocated storage, where specific bars or coins are held in your name, or unallocated storage, where you hold a claim to a pool of gold. Allocated storage is safer, though often more expensive.

Hollon HS-360E Fireproof Home Safe – Mammoth Safes

Illustration 7: A fireproof home safe can be a good option for securing gold.


For investors who prefer not to deal with the logistics of physical gold, gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) offer a highly convenient alternative. These financial instruments allow you to invest in gold without owning the metal directly. Gold ETFs, like SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) and iShares Gold Trust (IAU), are backed by physical gold stored in vaults. When you purchase shares of the ETF, you effectively own a fractional claim on the fund’s gold holdings.

Illustration 8: Gold ETFs such as IShares Gold Trust can be a good option for those not wanting to invest in physical gold.

Gold ETFs can be bought and sold just like stocks, making them extremely liquid and easy to manage through a regular brokerage account. They are suitable for both short-term traders and long-term investors. However, they do carry management fees, which slightly erode returns over time. Moreover, they come with counterparty risks, including potential issues with the fund’s custodians or administrators.

It is also important to distinguish between physically-backed ETFs and synthetic ETFs. The former hold real gold in vaults, while the latter use derivatives to replicate gold’s price movements. Synthetic ETFs are generally riskier and less transparent, making them unsuitable for conservative investors.

Gold Mines - Top 3 to Visit - United States Gold Bureau

Illustration 9: A Gold mine in the US

However, investing in mining stocks introduces new variables, including operational risks, labor disputes, environmental liabilities, and political instability in mining regions. Junior miners, small exploration firms seeking new deposits, offer even greater potential returns but they are often highly volatile and speculative. In other words, you are also exposed to the company itself and not only the commodity gold when investing in a gold mining company.

For investors who want diversified exposure to the mining sector, there are mutual funds and ETFs that track baskets of gold mining stocks. The VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) focuses on large, established firms, while the Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) targets smaller, more speculative companies.


The price of gold is influenced by a complex interplay of supply and demand dynamics, as well as broader macroeconomic forces. Meaning that as most other assets its price is simply made out of supply and demand. On the demand side, jewelry remains the largest use case for gold, especially in countries like India and China, where gold holds deep cultural and ceremonial significance. Investment demand also plays a major role, including purchases by individuals, institutions, and sovereign wealth funds.

India-and-gold-price-2 - Tavex Norway

Illustration 10: India is a large market for gold

Central banks are key players in the gold market. Many, particularly in emerging markets, have increased their gold reserves in recent years to diversify away from the U.S. dollar and protect against economic sanctions or currency instability. While gold also has limited use in electronics, medicine, and aerospace, these industrial applications make up a small portion of total demand.

On the supply side, gold primarily comes from mining. The process is capital-intensive and slow; bringing a new mine to production can take over a decade. Ore grades have been declining in many regions, and regulatory hurdles are growing, all of which constrain supply. Recycling, mostly from jewelry and electronic waste, contributes a secondary source of gold but is highly sensitive to price movements and economic conditions.

Macro variables like interest rates, inflation, and the U.S. dollar have a powerful influence on gold. Gold does not yield income, so when interest rates are high, investors may prefer bonds or savings accounts. Conversely, when real interest rates (adjusted for inflation) are low or negative, gold becomes more attractive. Inflation generally supports higher gold prices, especially when it undermines confidence in fiat currencies. Additionally, gold tends to move inversely to the U.S. dollar. A strong dollar can suppress gold prices, while a weakening dollar often lifts them.

Geopolitical risk also affects gold. Events such as wars, terrorist attacks, trade conflicts, or financial system disruptions tend to drive investors toward gold. In times of crisis, gold’s appeal as a neutral, apolitical, and tangible asset becomes particularly strong.

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Illustration 11: Geopolitical uncertainty such as war can lead to greater gold price.

The top ten largest consumers of gold are 1. China, 2. India, 3. US, 4. Turkey, 5. UAE, 6. Russia, 7. Saudi Arabia, 8. Iran, 9. Egypt and 10. Indonesia. While the largest suppliers of gold are 1. China, 2. Russia, 3. Australia, 4. US, 5. Canada, 6. Peru, 7. Ghana, 8. South Africa, 9. Mexico and 10. Brazil.

Despite its benefits, gold is not a risk-free investment. It can be volatile, especially in the short term. It does not generate cash flow like stocks or bonds. Physical gold requires secure storage and insurance. ETFs and mining stocks involve counterparty risk and market risk, respectively.


Furthermore, gold investments can be taxed in various ways. In some countries, profits from selling gold are subject to capital gains taxes. Some jurisdictions charge VAT or sales tax on gold purchases, unless the items qualify as investment-grade bullion. Wealth taxes and reporting requirements may also apply. Consulting a qualified tax advisor is always recommended.

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Illustration 12: Gold is more liquid than other precious metals

Gold is often grouped with silver, platinum, and palladium, but it plays a unique role. Silver has significant industrial uses and tends to be more volatile. Platinum and palladium are primarily industrial metals used in automotive emissions control and can be highly cyclical.

Gold, by contrast, is overwhelmingly held for monetary and investment purposes. It is the most stable and globally recognized of the precious metals, and its market is the deepest and most liquid.

Investors approach gold in various ways. A long-term strategic allocation of five to ten percent is common among those looking to hedge against systemic risk or inflation. Some investors increase their gold holdings tactically during periods of geopolitical tension or economic uncertainty.

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Illustration 13: It can be a good idea to make sure 5-10% of your portfolio consists of gold to hedge against inflation.

Others use gold as a short-term trading instrument, relying on technical analysis or macroeconomic trends. More advanced strategies include trading based on the gold-silver ratio, or investing in both physical gold and mining equities to capture both stability and upside.


This price is driven by trading activity on international exchanges and is typically quoted in U.S. dollars per troy ounce.

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Illustration 14: COMEX in New York

Futures markets, such as those operated by the COMEX in New York, allow investors to speculate on gold prices at future dates. These contracts are a major source of short-term price discovery and can create volatility due to their leverage and large volume of speculative interest. The London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) also plays a crucial role, setting a benchmark price known as the “London Fix” twice daily. This price is used globally by jewelers, refiners, and central banks.

Gold has earned its reputation as a reliable store of value and a key component of sound financial planning. Whether you are preparing for inflation, seeking protection from geopolitical turmoil, or simply looking to diversify your portfolio, gold offers a compelling set of characteristics.

However, it is not a silver bullet. Like any investment, it requires careful planning, proper storage or custodianship, awareness of market dynamics, and consideration of personal risk tolerance.

With its historical significance, universal appeal, and resistance to monetary debasement, gold continues to play a vital role in the financial strategies of individuals, institutions, and nations alike. Whether you hold it in your hands, store it in a vault, or track it on your screen, gold remains as it has for thousands of years a symbol of wealth, security, and enduring value.

Legendary investor Warren Buffett has consistently expressed a negative view of gold as an investment. He argues that gold is an unproductive asset, it doesn’t generate earnings, pay dividends, or contribute to economic growth. In his view, gold simply “sits there,” and its value relies largely on investor sentiment and fear rather than intrinsic or productive utility.

Buffett prefers investments in businesses, farmland, or real estate which are assets that produce income and compound over time. In a well-known example, he compared the entire world’s gold stock to the same dollar value invested in U.S. farmland and ExxonMobil, concluding that the latter would clearly deliver greater long-term returns. Although Berkshire Hathaway briefly held a small stake in Barrick Gold (a mining company) in 2020, Buffett has never supported owning gold itself. His core belief remains unchanged: productive assets create real wealth, while gold does not.


Baidu Inc. – A Stock Analysis of One of China’s Leading Tech Giants

Introduction

Baidu Inc. is a prominent Chinese multinational technology company, widely recognized as one of the world’s leading artificial intelligence (AI) and internet services providers. Headquartered in Beijing, Baidu is best known for operating China’s largest search engine, but its portfolio spans a broad range of sectors, including cloud computing, autonomous driving, language processing, and smart devices.

Illustration 1: The Baidu logo, featuring its distinctive pawprint symbol, representing its digital footprint and innovation.

Unlike many global tech giants that emerged from the West, Baidu has played a foundational role in shaping the Chinese internet landscape. Its search engine dominates the domestic market, while its ongoing investment in AI and machine learning has positioned the company as a key innovator in emerging technologies such as autonomous vehicles and natural language understanding.

As a member of China’s “BAT” trio (Baidu, Alibaba, Tencent), Baidu is one of the most influential tech companies in Asia. Its technological infrastructure powers a wide array of services, including Baidu Maps, Baidu Cloud, and DuerOS—a voice assistant platform integrated into various smart devices. With a strong focus on AI research, a deep data ecosystem, and strategic partnerships, Baidu continues to be a driving force in the global tech landscape, particularly in AI and intelligent mobility.

History

Baidu was founded in 2000 by Robin Li and Eric Xu, emerging at a time when China’s internet ecosystem was still in its infancy. Robin Li’s development of the RankDex site-scoring algorithm in the late 1990s laid the foundation for Baidu’s core search technology—a precursor to modern search engine optimization and ranking systems.

Baidu’s breakthrough came in the early 2000s as it rapidly became China’s dominant search engine, offering results tailored to Chinese-language users with superior indexing of Chinese websites. The company’s innovative pay-for-placement advertising model helped generate significant early revenue, setting the stage for rapid growth and public listing on the NASDAQ in 2005.

Throughout the 2010s, Baidu evolved from a search engine company into a diversified tech powerhouse. It expanded into cloud services, digital maps, mobile applications, and AI-powered products. A major turning point was its strategic pivot toward artificial intelligence—investing heavily in autonomous driving (Apollo), smart voice assistants (DuerOS), and deep learning platforms (PaddlePaddle), making AI central to its long-term vision.

By the 2020s, Baidu had positioned itself as a global leader in AI and autonomous technology. Its Apollo platform became one of the most advanced autonomous driving systems in the world, and Baidu began operating robotaxi services in several Chinese cities. The company also deepened its AI capabilities through Baidu Brain, a large-scale AI system integrating vision, speech, knowledge, and language technologies.


Today, Baidu remains one of China’s most influential technology companies. With a strong emphasis on innovation, research, and ethical AI development, Baidu continues to drive advancements across industries. In the stock market, Baidu is seen as a bellwether for the Chinese tech sector, reflecting broader trends in AI, cloud computing, and digital infrastructure.

Operations and Products

  • Search, Cloud, and AI-Driven Ecosystem

Baidu operates one of the world’s largest and most advanced AI-powered ecosystems, built on a foundation of search, cloud computing, and intelligent services. While the company began as China’s premier internet search engine, it has transformed into a diversified technology enterprise focused on artificial intelligence, autonomous driving, cloud services, and smart devices.

Baidu’s core products still include its flagship Baidu Search, which dominates the Chinese-language internet search market. Over time, this platform has evolved with advanced AI features such as voice search, natural language processing (NLP), and personalized results based on big data analytics.

Baidu launches search engine in Thailand, Brazil, and Egypt

Illustration 2: Baidu Search is the product Baidu is most famous for.

Beyond search, Baidu Cloud delivers enterprise-grade infrastructure and intelligent services, including AI-powered data analytics, intelligent speech and image recognition, and machine learning platforms. This cloud ecosystem serves sectors like finance, healthcare, manufacturing, and smart cities.

  • Autonomous Driving and Smart Transportation

One of Baidu’s most prominent innovations is Apollo, its open-source autonomous driving platform. Apollo provides a comprehensive solution for autonomous vehicle development, including software stacks, cloud-based simulation tools, and in-vehicle operating systems. The platform is used by global automakers and has powered the launch of robotaxi services in cities like Beijing, Wuhan, and Chongqing.

Illustration 3: One of Baidu’s Apollo robotaxies

In addition to Apollo, Baidu has introduced RT6, a fully autonomous electric vehicle designed for urban ride-hailing, marking a step forward in reducing operational costs and scaling autonomous mobility.

  • Voice Assistants and Smart Devices

Baidu’s AI assistant DuerOS powers a growing range of smart devices, from smart speakers and in-car infotainment systems to household appliances. Through natural language processing and conversational AI, DuerOS enables hands-free interaction and integration with Baidu’s services.

The company has also developed AI chips, such as Kunlun, to support high-performance AI processing for applications in data centers and on edge devices. These chips are used for deep learning, image and speech recognition, and autonomous driving computation.


  • Emerging Technologies and Future Focus

Baidu is investing heavily in generative AI, foundation models, and language-based applications. Its ERNIE (Enhanced Representation through Knowledge Integration) model is China’s counterpart to GPT-like large language models, enabling everything from AI writing and coding to intelligent customer service and enterprise automation.

Looking ahead, Baidu is positioning itself as a global AI leader, with a focus on AI cloud integration, smart transportation infrastructure, and intelligent edge computing. Its commitment to ethical AI, energy efficiency, and open-source collaboration ensures its relevance in both China’s tech ecosystem and the broader international market.

Key Competitors

Baidu operates in several fast-evolving and highly competitive sectors, including internet services, artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and autonomous driving. Its major competitors vary by product category and technological focus:

Alibaba Group – As one of China’s largest tech conglomerates, Alibaba competes with Baidu primarily in cloud computing and AI services. Alibaba Cloud is a top rival to Baidu Cloud, offering a wide range of infrastructure and machine learning tools to enterprise clients. Alibaba also invests heavily in smart city and AI-driven business applications.

Tencent – Known for WeChat and its expansive digital ecosystem, Tencent competes with Baidu in the realms of online advertising, content distribution, and AI-powered applications. Tencent’s investments in cloud computing, search, and smart services overlap with Baidu’s broader AI ecosystem.

ByteDance – While originally known for its short-form video platforms like TikTok (Douyin in China), ByteDance has become a formidable competitor in AI and online search. Its Toutiao news aggregation platform and growing ambitions in AI research present a challenge to Baidu’s dominance in content discovery and recommendation systems.

Huawei – Huawei competes with Baidu in AI chips, cloud services, and smart infrastructure. The company’s Ascend AI processors and Huawei Cloud offerings rival Baidu’s Kunlun chips and cloud-based AI solutions. Huawei is also a major player in intelligent transportation, overlapping with Baidu’s Apollo platform.

Illustration 4: Baidu Headquarters in Beijing China

Google (Alphabet Inc.) – On the international stage, Google is Baidu’s most direct analogue, especially in search, cloud, and AI research. While Google does not operate in mainland China due to regulatory constraints, both companies compete globally in areas such as large language models, autonomous driving, and AI-powered cloud services.


Competitive Advantage

Baidu’s most significant competitive advantage lies in its deep expertise and long-standing investment in artificial intelligence (AI). As one of the first Chinese tech companies to prioritize AI as a core strategy, Baidu has built a vertically integrated AI ecosystem that spans foundational research, infrastructure, and practical applications. Its proprietary ERNIE large language model and AI framework PaddlePaddle give Baidu full-stack control over its AI pipeline, from model training to deployment—similar to how a vertically integrated chipmaker controls the semiconductor process. This in-house AI capability enables Baidu to quickly adapt and deploy solutions across sectors such as search, cloud computing, autonomous driving, and smart devices, giving it a strong edge over companies that rely on third-party models or external development frameworks.

Another competitive strength is Baidu’s autonomous driving platform, Apollo, which is widely regarded as one of the world’s most advanced open-source ecosystems for intelligent mobility. With partnerships across the automotive industry and active robotaxi deployments in multiple Chinese cities, Baidu has a first-mover advantage in the smart transportation space.

Baidu also benefits from its dominance in Chinese-language search and knowledge-based services. Its search engine remains the market leader in China, supported by AI-enhanced features and deep content integration through platforms like Baidu Baike (an online encyclopedia) and Baidu Tieba (a discussion forum network). These platforms give Baidu access to vast amounts of first-party data, enabling superior personalization, ad targeting, and machine learning performance.

Additionally, Baidu’s emphasis on data security, localization, and regulatory alignment gives it an operational advantage in China’s tightly regulated digital environment. The company’s strong government relations and commitment to compliance enable it to operate at scale in areas where foreign tech giants face barriers.

Finally, Baidu’s strong R&D culture, with continuous investment in AI chips (e.g., Kunlun) and next-gen computing, ensures its long-term competitiveness. Combined with a robust cloud infrastructure, a growing enterprise customer base, and integrated smart services, Baidu is uniquely positioned to lead China’s digital transformation and compete globally in AI-driven technologies.

Illustration 5: A Baidu AI robot

Future Outlook

Baidu is expected to see steady growth as demand rises for smart mobility, cloud services, and intelligent digital tools in China. Sectors like autonomous driving, enterprise cloud solutions, and digital infrastructure are projected to expand, creating new opportunities for the company.

With ongoing investment in self-driving technology (Apollo), custom chips (Kunlun), and industry-focused cloud services, Baidu is well-placed to benefit from China’s push toward automation and digitalization. As these trends continue, demand for Baidu’s core services is likely to increase in the years ahead.


Stock Analysis

In this section we will analyze Baidu’s stock to see if it is a good stock to buy or not. Our philosophy is value investing meaning that we try to find good quality companies that are undervalued. However, we will give a holistic overview so all kind of investors with different philosophies can judge the stock for themselves.

Revenue and Profits

Illustration 6 and 7: Revenue of Baidu from 2009 to 2024

As shown in Illustration 6 and 7, Baidu has experienced a dynamic long-term revenue trajectory, particularly from 2009 to 2021, when it established itself as China’s dominant search engine and a major player in online advertising. The company’s early lead in China’s digital economy, supported by rapid internet adoption and growing advertiser demand, helped drive consistent gains throughout much of this period. Baidu also began investing in emerging technologies during these years, including artificial intelligence, autonomous driving, and cloud services, laying the groundwork for future diversification.

However, despite these early advantages, Baidu encountered periods of slower growth and revenue pressure, notably between 2021 and 2024. This downturn was driven by intensifying competition from platforms like Tencent and Bytedance, shifts in user behavior toward mobile super apps and short-form video, and internal restructuring. In response, Baidu expanded its R&D spending and began repositioning itself as a technology-driven company beyond search, focusing on AI cloud computing, Apollo (autonomous driving), and smart devices. The role of coid-19 on the very strong revenue increase is also worth taking in to consideration.

Baidu’s revenue is overall a green flag as it shows a steady increase in income over time and also reflects the company’s ability to adapt through diversification into AI, cloud, and autonomous driving, positioning it well for future growth despite short-term volatility.

Illustration 8 and 9: Net Income for Baidu from 2009 to 2024

Net income is a crucial metric to evaluate when determining whether a company is a worthwhile investment. It represents a company’s net profit or loss after accounting for all revenues, income items, and expenses, calculated as Net Income = Revenue – Expenses.

As can be seen from Illustration 8 and 9, the net income for Baidu rose steadily from 2009 to 2015 due to strong performance in its core search and online advertising business. However, from 2015 to 2025, net income has been highly volatile despite steadily increasing revenue. This disconnect is largely due to rising operating costs, heavy R&D investments in AI, autonomous driving, and cloud services, as well as regulatory headwinds and economic uncertainty in China. While revenue growth indicates strong top-line performance, the inconsistency in net income is a red flag, suggesting pressure on margins and highlighting the financial risks tied to Baidu’s aggressive long-term innovation strategy.

Revenue Breakdown

Illustration 10: Revenue Breakdown for Baidu gathered from gurufocus

The Online Marketing segment is Baidu’s largest revenue driver, contributing approximately 60–70% of total revenue. This segment primarily consists of pay-per-click (PPC) advertising services through Baidu’s core search engine platform, as well as display ads across its ecosystem of products and content partners. Despite growing competition from platforms like Tencent and ByteDance, Baidu maintains a strong presence in China’s search-based ad market. However, ad revenue has faced pressure in recent years due to regulatory crackdowns on internet companies, weakening macroeconomic conditions, and advertisers shifting budgets toward e-commerce and short video platforms.

Baidu’s non-advertising revenue—mainly from AI Cloud and intelligent driving—now accounts for approximately 25–30% of total revenue. This segment includes Baidu AI Cloud services, Apollo autonomous driving, Xiaodu smart devices, and intelligent transportation systems. AI Cloud has seen significant growth from government and enterprise demand for digital transformation, while Apollo remains a long-term bet on the future of mobility. These areas have required heavy investment and contributed to margin pressure, but they represent key pillars of Baidu’s strategic pivot beyond advertising. The cloud segment, in particular, has shown strong momentum, with revenue growing over 20% year-over-year in several recent quarters.

The remaining 5–10% of Baidu’s revenue comes from other sources, including content subscriptions, licensing, and miscellaneous services tied to the company’s broader AI ecosystem. While not core drivers of growth, these smaller streams add diversification and support Baidu’s broader goal of becoming a comprehensive AI and technology platform.

Despite this diversification, Baidu has faced financial pressure in recent years. While revenue has continued to rise, net income has been volatile due to high R&D costs, regulatory expenses, and ongoing losses in emerging business units like autonomous driving. For example, Baidu’s net income dropped from RMB 10.2 billion in 2021 to RMB 7.6 billion in 2023, with fluctuations expected to continue as the company scales its next-gen technologies.

As seen in Illustration 13, a significant portion of Baidu’s revenue is allocated to cost of goods sold (COGS), particularly within its cloud and AI-related businesses. Unlike the higher-margin search advertising segment, Baidu’s non-advertising services—such as AI Cloud and smart devices—tend to carry higher operational costs, resulting in a larger share of revenue consumed by COGS. This has put pressure on overall gross margins, especially as these segments expand. Additionally, Baidu consistently allocates over 15% of its revenue to research and development (R&D), reflecting its strategic focus on long-term innovation in AI and autonomous technologies. While these investments are vital for future growth, they contribute to current margin compression and earnings volatility.

Overall, Baidu’s revenue breakdown reflects both stability and transformation. Its dominance in online advertising ensures steady cash flow, while emerging segments in AI and autonomous driving offer promising growth opportunities. However, investors should be aware of the execution risks and earnings volatility that come with this strategic shift.

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Illustration 11: Earnings per share for Baidu from 2009 to 2024

Earnings Per Share (EPS) is a key financial metric that measures a company’s profitability on a per-share basis. It indicates how much profit a company generates for each outstanding share of its stock, and is used to assess a company’s financial health, profitability, and potential for growth. In other words this metric can tell us how profitable the business is.

The EPS figure itself isn’t the primary focus for value investors—it can be 0.2 or 10, but what truly matters is the company’s ability to generate consistent earnings growth. A steadily increasing EPS over time signals strong financial health, profitability, and long-term value creation.

Baidu’ earnings per share (EPS) performance from 2009 to 2015 reflects a generally strong long-term trend, but recent years have shown a concerning volatility as shown in illustration 11. From 2009 to 2015, Baidy consistently grew its EPS, reaching a peak of $16.69 per share in 2015. However, from 2015 onwards, Baidu’s EPS has shown pronounced fluctuations. This volatility has been driven by several factors: intensifying competition from other tech giants, heavy investments in AI and autonomous driving, regulatory pressures within China’s tech sector, and broader macroeconomic uncertainties. While there were periods of recovery and innovation-led growth, the company has struggled to maintain stable profit expansion year-over-year.

This volatility is a red flag for investors, as it indicates that Baidu is struggling to maintain steady profit growth despite its historically strong revenue performance. However, in recent years from 2022 its EPS has been steadily increasing which is a positive sign and shows an ability to grow a profit. Potential Investors should in all case monitor the EPS of Baidu closely for sudden changes.

Assets and Liabilities

Illustration 12 and 13: Assets and Liabilities for Baidu from 2009 to 2024.

When evaluating a company as a potential investment, understanding its assets and liabilities is crucial. If a local business owner offered to sell their shop to you, one of the first questions—after determining its profitability—would be about its equity and assets. The same principle applies when assessing publicly traded companies like Baidu.’

As shown in Illustrations 11 and 12, Texas Instruments has a substantial asset base, totaling $58.6 billion in 2024. This steady asset growth over time from 2009 to 2024 is a positive sign, indicating that the company is expanding its operations, investing in new technologies, and strengthening its market position. A growing asset base often reflects a company’s ability to scale its business, acquire new projects, and improve its production capacity, which is particularly important in the competitive industry Baidu is in.

At the same time, Baidu’s total liabilities have also increased significantly, rising from $0.2 billion in 2009 to $21.1 billion in 2024. While such a sharp rise in debt might raise concerns for some investors, it is not necessarily a red flag given Baidu’s ongoing investments in artificial intelligence, cloud computing, and autonomous driving. These capital-intensive initiatives are essential for maintaining technological leadership in a rapidly evolving landscape. Baidu has historically balanced its investments with a strong focus on innovation and long-term growth, but the rising debt levels warrant careful observation. Investors should closely monitor Baidu’s ability to manage its liabilities effectively, especially amid recent earnings volatility. Ensuring that debt remains manageable and does not hinder future financial stability will be crucial for the company’s long-term success.

The key factor for investors is whether Baidu can effectively manage its debt while maintaining strong revenue and profitability. If the company can generate consistent cash flow and sustain high demand for its products and services, its rising liabilities may not be a major issue. However, if debt levels continue to grow faster than revenue or profits, it could indicate financial strain, making it important for investors to monitor the company’s ability to service its obligations while maintaining profitability.

The cash on hand for Baidu is a green flag for potential investors, as the company has $19 billion in readily available cash as of 2024. This is significantly higher than its long-term debt of $7.1 billion, which indicates a strong liquidity position. This suggests that Baidu is well-equipped to meet its financial obligations, fund strategic investments, and weather short-term market uncertainties without relying heavily on external financing.

As seen in Illustration 13, Total Shareholder Equity—calculated as total assets minus total liabilities—has consistently grown over the past 14 years. This is a positive indicator for potential investors, as it suggests that Baidu is building value over time rather than eroding its financial foundation. A steadily increasing shareholder equity indicates that the company’s assets are growing at a faster rate than its liabilities, which is a green flag for financial health. This trend suggests that Baidu is successfully expanding its operations while maintaining a solid balance sheet. Additionally, rising equity provides a buffer against financial downturns, making the company more resilient in times of economic uncertainty. However, investors should also consider how this growth is achieved—whether through profitable operations or increased debt financing—to fully assess the sustainability of this trend.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Illustration 14 and 15: Debt tp Equity ratio of Baidu from 2009 to 2024

The Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio is an important financial metric for assessing a company’s financial leverage and risk. It compares the amount of debt the company uses to finance its operations relative to its shareholder equity. A high D/E ratio suggests that the company relies more heavily on debt to fuel growth, which could increase financial risk, especially during economic downturns when managing debt obligations becomes more challenging. In contrast, a lower D/E ratio indicates that the company is primarily financed through equity, reducing financial risk but potentially limiting its ability to rapidly expand.

Legendary value investor Warren Buffett generally prefers a ratio below 0.5. Baidu’s D/E ratio is currently above that, standing at approximately 0.61 as of 2024 which is not much especially considering all the new AI projects Baidu has started in recent years. The D/E has steadily increased from 2009 where it was just 0.25. This indicates a growing reliance on debt financing over the past decade. This rising trend could raise concerns about Baidu’s financial leverage and its ability to manage debt effectively, especially in a volatile regulatory and competitive environment. However, this is not necessarily a red flag as Baidu has been investing in more AI projects during this time span that are financed through debt financing.

Since peaking around 2018, Baidu’s D/E ratio has shown signs of moderation, indicating a possible shift toward a more balanced capital structure. This decline may reflect efforts to deleverage and improve financial stability, which could be appealing to long-term investors focused on risk management. Baidu’s D/E ratio has also shown some volatility, suggesting that while the company generally maintains a cautious approach to debt, there are periods where leverage increases—potentially due to large-scale investments in AI, cloud, and autonomous driving. This isn’t necessarily a red flag, as long as Baidu avoids becoming overly dependent on debt. Still, the combination of rising debt and inconsistent profitability should be monitored closely, as it could pose risks to financial flexibility if not managed prudently.

Price to earnings ratio (P/E)

Illustration 16 and 17: P/E ratio of Baidu from 2010 to 2024

For value investors, one of the most critical metrics when evaluating Baidu’s stock is the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, as it helps assess whether the company is undervalued or overvalued. Even if a company has strong financials, purchasing its stock at a high price can lead to poor returns. For example, imagine a business generating solid profits of $1 million per year. If the owner offers to sell you the business for just $1, it would be an incredible deal. But if the owner asks for $1 trillion, even though the business is profitable, the price would be absurdly overvalued. The stock market works similarly—companies can be priced cheaply on some days and excessively expensive on others.

Warren Buffett, a legendary value investor, typically considers stocks with a P/E ratio of 15 or lower as “bargains.” A high P/E ratio suggests that investors are paying a premium for the company’s earnings, expecting significant growth. The P/E ratio of Baidu has fluctuated widely, ranging from 79.6 in 2010, to 19.21 in 2019, spiking to 99.79 in 2020, and dropping significantly to 12.5 in 2025. These sharp fluctuations are a red flag for potential investors, as they indicate market uncertainty and inconsistent investor confidence in Baidu’s earnings potential. However, the current P/E ratio of 12.5 suggests that Baidu may be undervalued, especially when compared to its historical valuation levels. For value investors, this could represent a potential buying opportunity—provided that the company can stabilize earnings and deliver on future growth prospects.

Price to book value (P/B ratio)

Illustration 18 and 19: Price to book ratio of Baidu from 2010 to 2025.

Price-to-book value (P/B ratio) is a financial metric used to compare a company’s market value (its stock price) to its book value (the net asset value of the company, calculated as total assets minus total liabilities). The P/B ratio is calculated by dividing the current share price by the book value per share. A lower P/B ratio suggests that the stock may be undervalued, as investors are paying less for the company’s assets than their actual worth. Conversely, a high P/B ratiomay indicate that the stock is overvalued, or that investors expect high growth in the company’s future earnings. The P/B ratio is often used by value investors to assess whether a stock is trading at a fair price based on its underlying assets. Legendary Investor Warren Buffet prefers company’s with P/B lower than 1.5 and often buys around 1.3 or lower.

The price-to-book (P/B) ratio of Baidu is a green flag, as it is significantly lower than that of many competitors in the tech sector and falls below the levels Warren Buffett typically considers undervalued. This suggests that the company may be undervalued relative to its book value, meaning investors are paying less for its assets compared to peers. Furthermore, the overall downward trend in Baidu’s P/B ratio in recent years indicates weakening investor sentiment, even as revenues have continued to grow. This could reflect under-optimism about Baidu’s future growth or a disconnect between its stock price and its underlying fundamentals. If profitability continues to decline while the P/B ratio remains low, it could signal a risk of value traps—where a stock appears cheap but lacks the catalyst for recovery. Investors should carefully assess whether the company’s financial performance can support future growth or if the current low valuation reflects deeper structural concerns.

Dividend

As of 2025, Baidu does not pay a regular dividend to shareholders. Baidu has historically reinvested its earnings into research and development, artificial intelligence, autonomous driving, and other growth initiatives rather than returning capital to shareholders through dividends. This strategy is typical for many tech companies, especially those still focused on expansion and innovation. If you’re looking for dividend-paying Chinese tech companies, you might want to look at others like Tencent or Alibaba, which have initiated or considered dividend payments in recent years.

Insider Trading

Over the past few years, insider trading activity at Baidu has been relatively limited, which is generally a neutral to green flag for investors, as it suggests stability and confidence in the company’s long-term prospects. However, there have been some notable planned transactions. For instance, in October 2024, insider Melissa Dongmin Ma filed a Form 144 to sell approximately 395,000 shares valued at around $41.6 million, following a similar filing in July 2024 for 260,000 shares worth about $22.4 million. While such large proposed sales might raise eyebrows, they are not necessarily a red flag, especially if they are part of routine portfolio diversification or personal financial planning. The absence of widespread or frequent insider selling supports a cautiously positive view, but investors should still monitor any emerging trends that may reflect shifting internal sentiment.

Other Company Info

Founded in 2000, Baidu Inc. is a leading Chinese technology company specializing in internet-related services, artificial intelligence, and autonomous driving technologies. As of 2024, Baidu employs approximately 35,900 people, reflecting its continued investment in research and development across AI, cloud computing, and smart mobility. The company is publicly traded on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol BIDU and operates within the Technology sector, specifically under the Interactive Media & Services industry.

Baidu is headquartered at No. 10 Shangdi 10th Street, Haidian District, Beijing, China. As of 2024, the company has approximately 348 million shares outstanding, with a market capitalization of around $45 billion USD. For more information, visit Baidu’s official website: https://www.baidu.com.

Illustration 20-22: Number of employees and location of Baidu Headquarters in Beijing China

Final Verdict

Investing in Baidu Inc. presents a compelling opportunity, particularly for investors seeking exposure to China’s AI and digital innovation sectors. As a pioneer in search engine technology and artificial intelligence, Baidu has positioned itself at the forefront of China’s tech evolution, with major investments in autonomous driving (Apollo), AI cloud services, and generative AI models. The company’s strong research capabilities and diversified revenue streams—from online marketing to cloud and AI solutions—underscore its long-term growth potential.

However, investors should approach with measured caution. Baidu’s earnings have shown significant volatility in recent years, and while its P/E ratio is currently low (around 12.5 as of April 2025)—suggesting undervaluation—this reflects muted investor sentiment amid regulatory uncertainty and inconsistent profitability. Additionally, Baidu does not currently pay a dividend, which may deter income-focused investors. Competition from domestic tech giants like Alibaba, Tencent, and ByteDance also remains a persistent challenge.

Overall, Baidu may be a suitable investment for long-term, growth-oriented investors who are comfortable with short-term volatility and regulatory risk in exchange for potential upside tied to China’s AI-driven future. However, Its Net Income should be monitored closely.

Texas Instruments: A Comprehensive Overview and Stock Analysis of an Analog Semiconductor Powerhouse

Introduction

Texas Instruments (TI) is a globally recognized American technology company specializing in the design and manufacturing of analog and embedded semiconductor solutions. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, TI plays a crucial role in various industries, from consumer electronics to automotive, industrial automation, and communications. Unlike companies that focus primarily on digital processors, TI is a dominant force in the analog semiconductor market, producing essential components that enable power management, signal processing, and wireless connectivity.

Fil:TexasInstruments-Logo.svg – Wikipedia

Illustration 1: The logo of Texas Instruments which includes its famous outline of the state of Texas.

As one of the largest semiconductor manufacturers by revenue, Texas Instruments has maintained a strong market presence for decades. The company’s extensive product portfolio includes microcontrollers, power management chips, and data converters, which are integral to countless electronic devices. TI’s robust financial performance, strategic innovation, and commitment to efficient manufacturing make it a key player in the semiconductor industry.

History

Texas Instruments traces its origins back to 1930 when it was founded as Geophysical Service Incorporated (GSI), a company specializing in oil exploration technology. In 1951, it rebranded as Texas Instruments and shifted its focus to the emerging semiconductor industry.

TI’s breakthrough moment came in 1958 when engineer Jack Kilby invented the integrated circuit (IC), revolutionizing electronics and laying the foundation for modern computing. This innovation earned Kilby the Nobel Prize in Physics and cemented TI’s reputation as a semiconductor pioneer.

Throughout the 20th century, Texas Instruments played a pivotal role in advancing semiconductor technology. It became a leader in analog and embedded processing, developing industry-leading signal processors, power management chips, and automotive electronics. The company also ventured into consumer electronics, famously producing the first handheld calculator and early digital signal processors (DSPs).

By the 2000s, TI had streamlined its operations, focusing primarily on analog and embedded processing. This strategic move allowed the company to strengthen its competitive advantage in power-efficient, high-performance semiconductor solutions. Today, Texas Instruments continues to lead the analog semiconductor market, benefiting from its broad customer base, efficient manufacturing processes, and long product life cycles.

With a commitment to innovation and sustainability, TI invests heavily in research and development while expanding its global production capabilities. As industries increasingly rely on analog and embedded technologies, Texas Instruments remains well-positioned to drive growth and maintain its leadership in the semiconductor sector. In the stock market, Texas Instruments is often regarded as an indicator for the semiconductor and electronics industry as a whole, since the company sells to more than 100,000 customers.


Operations and Products

  • Analog and Embedded Semiconductor Manufacturing

Texas Instruments (TI) is one of the world’s leading manufacturers of analog and embedded semiconductors, supplying essential components for industries such as automotive, industrial automation, consumer electronics, and communications. Unlike digital-focused semiconductor companies, TI specializes in analog chips and embedded processors that enable power management, signal processing, and wireless connectivity in electronic devices.

TI’s product portfolio includes power management integrated circuits (PMICs), data converters, amplifiers, sensors, and embedded processors like microcontrollers (MCUs) and digital signal processors (DSPs). These chips are fundamental to applications ranging from electric vehicles and renewable energy systems to medical devices and industrial automation.

A key differentiator for Texas Instruments is its in-house semiconductor manufacturing. The company operates its own wafer fabrication facilities (fabs), allowing greater control over production costs, quality, and supply chain stability. TI has invested heavily in advanced manufacturing processes, including the expansion of its 300mm wafer fabs, which provide significant cost advantages compared to traditional 200mm fabs.

  • Emerging Technologies and Future Growth Areas

Texas Instruments is strategically expanding its capabilities in several high-growth markets, particularly in automotive and industrial sectors. The increasing adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) and autonomous driving has driven demand for TI’s power management and sensing technologies, making it a critical supplier for automakers and Tier 1 suppliers.

Texas Instruments BAII Plus finansiell kalkulator brukermanual for  Storbritannia

Illustration 2: A Texas Instruments BAII Plus Calculators. Calculators is one of many products TI offers.

In the industrial sector, TI plays a vital role in factory automation, robotics, and smart grid infrastructure, providing energy-efficient chips that optimize performance and reliability. With the rise of the Internet of Things (IoT), TI’s low-power wireless solutions, such as Bluetooth Low Energy and Wi-Fi connectivity chips, are widely used in smart home devices, wearables, and industrial IoT application

  • Data-Centric AI and Embedded Processing Solutions

While Texas Instruments is not a major player in high-performance computing (HPC) or AI accelerators like Intel or NVIDIA, it provides critical support components for AI-driven applications. TI’s analog chips and embedded processors are used in AI-enabled edge devices, industrial sensors, and automotive AI systems.


Additionally, Texas Instruments continues to enhance its portfolio of automotive microcontrollers and ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance Systems) components, helping power the next generation of AI-driven vehicle safety features. Its innovations in radar and sensor fusion technology are key to enabling semi-autonomous and autonomous driving capabilities.

Key Competitors

Texas Instruments operates in a highly competitive semiconductor industry, facing strong rivals across various market segments. Its key competitors include:

Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) – One of TI’s primary competitors in the analog semiconductor market, Analog Devices specializes in high-performance signal processing, power management, and sensor technology. ADI competes with TI in sectors such as industrial automation, automotive, and communications.

Infineon Technologies – A major player in power semiconductors and automotive electronics, Infineon competes with TI in power management ICs, microcontrollers, and sensor technologies. Its strong presence in electric vehicles (EVs) and energy-efficient semiconductor solutions makes it a formidable competitor.

STMicroelectronics (ST) – STMicroelectronics is a key rival in embedded processing and analog semiconductors, offering a broad portfolio of microcontrollers (MCUs), sensors, and power management solutions. It competes with TI in automotive, industrial, and IoT applications.

NXP Semiconductors – NXP is a strong competitor in embedded processing and automotive semiconductors, particularly in ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance Systems), vehicle networking, and secure connectivity solutions. Its MCUs and automotive processors rival TI’s offerings in the automotive sector.

Texas Instruments drowns in tax breaks - Good Jobs First

Illustration 3: Outside Texas Instruments Headquarters

Competitive Advantage

One of Texas Instruments’ strongest competitive advantages is its vertically integrated manufacturing strategy, which includes in-house fabrication of semiconductors using 300mm wafer technology. Unlike many competitors that rely on third-party foundries, TI controls its entire production process, allowing for greater cost efficiency, supply chain stability, and quality control. The use of 300mm wafers provides a significant cost advantage over traditional 200mm wafers, reducing per-chip production expenses and enabling competitive pricing. This manufacturing efficiency helps TI maintain high profit margins while ensuring long-term supply reliability, especially in high-demand markets like automotive and industrial electronics.


Another key advantage is TI’s extensive and diverse product portfolio, which spans analog and embedded semiconductors, including power management ICs, data converters, amplifiers, sensors, and microcontrollers. These products are essential across a broad range of industries, from automotive and industrial automation to consumer electronics and communications. Unlike companies that focus primarily on cutting-edge digital processors, TI specializes in long product lifecycle semiconductors, ensuring sustained demand and reducing the risk of technological obsolescence. This strategic focus allows Texas Instruments to generate consistent revenue streams and maintain leadership in key analog and embedded markets.

Texas Instruments also benefits from a strong emphasis on research and development (R&D) and customer-driven innovation. The company invests heavily in advancing semiconductor technology, particularly in areas like power efficiency, sensor integration, and wireless connectivity. TI’s deep industry relationships and extensive technical support services enable it to tailor solutions to the evolving needs of its customers, fostering long-term partnerships with major players in the automotive, industrial, and communications sectors. Additionally, TI’s robust direct sales and distribution network ensures widespread availability of its products, reinforcing its leadership position in the semiconductor market.

Future Outlook

Texas Instruments is well-positioned for sustained growth as demand for analog and embedded semiconductors continues to expand across automotive, industrial, and IoT sectors. Its strong brand, cost-efficient manufacturing, and diverse product portfolio provide a solid foundation for long-term success.

TI stands to benefit from the increasing need for power management, signal processing, and energy-efficient semiconductor solutions, particularly in EVs, factory automation, and smart infrastructure. Its 300mm wafer technology ensures cost advantages and supply chain stability, reinforcing its market leadership.

Furthermore, TI’s continued investment in R&D, manufacturing expansion, and emerging markets presents significant growth opportunities. As industries shift toward electrification and automation, Texas Instruments remains a key player in shaping the future of semiconductor innovation.


Stock Analysis

In this section we will analyze Texas Instrument’s stock to see if it is a good stock to buy or not. Our philosophy is value investing meaning that we try to find good quality companies that are undervalued. However, we will give a holistic overview so all kind of investors with different philosophies can judge the stock for themselves.

Revenue and Profits

Illustration 4 and 5: Revenue for Texas Instruments from 2009 to 2024.

As shown in illustration 4 and 5, Texas Instruments (TI) has demonstrated strong long-term revenue growth, particularly from 2009 to 2022. The company’s focus on analog and embedded processing solutions has positioned it well in the semiconductor market, driving consistent gains for much of this period. TI benefited from increasing demand across industries, including automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics.

However, despite this long-term upward trend, TI has experienced notable periods of revenue decline, particularly from 2010 to 2013 and again from 2022 to 2024. The 2010–2013 downturn was largely due to restructuring efforts, including exiting the wireless business, and broader market fluctuations. While the company rebounded strongly afterward, the more recent 2022–2024 decline raises red flags for investors. This drop has been driven by weaker demand, inventory corrections, and heightened competition in the semiconductor space. However, all in all the general trend has been positive indicating increased revenue over time, but potential investors should monitor downturn carefully and especially the reasons for them.

Illustration 6 and 7: Net Income for Texas Instruments from 2009 to 2024

Net income is a crucial metric to evaluate when determining whether a company is a worthwhile investment. It represents a company’s net profit or loss after accounting for all revenues, income items, and expenses, calculated as Net Income = Revenue – Expenses.

The net income of Texas Instruments is a red flag as it has been both volatile and on a strongly negative trend in the last couple of years, particularly from 2022 to 2024. This decline is driven by several factors, including weakening demand in key markets, inventory corrections, higher operational costs, and increased competition from other semiconductor manufacturers. Additionally, macroeconomic uncertainties and fluctuations in the semiconductor cycle have further pressured profitability. In 2024, net income saw a significant decline, raising concerns for potential investors about TI’s ability to maintain strong margins and competitive positioning. Given this negative trend, investors should closely monitor TI’s financial performance to assess whether the company can stabilize profitability and return to growth. However, all in all the general trend from 2009 to 2022 has been generally positive which indicates that the profitability over time for the company is usually positive, and that if past gains is an indicator for future gains, it will develop in a positive direction in the future again.

Revenue breakdown

Texas Instruments Inc's Dividend Analysis
A Calculated Look at Texas Instruments

Illustration 8 and 9: Revenue breakdown for Texas Instruments

The Analog segment is Texas Instruments’ largest revenue driver, contributing approximately 75-80% of total revenue. This segment includes power management, signal chain, and high-performance analog chips used in automotive, industrial, communications, and personal electronics. TI has a strong market position in analog semiconductors, but it faces increasing competition from companies like Analog Devices and Infineon. While demand has historically been strong, recent downturns in the semiconductor cycle have impacted growth.

This segment accounts for around 15-20% of TI’s revenue, focusing on microcontrollers and processors used in industrial automation, automotive systems, and communications equipment. The push toward automation and the growing electrification of vehicles have supported long-term growth in this segment. However, macroeconomic headwinds and inventory corrections have created challenges in recent years, contributing to the revenue decline from 2022 to 2024.

The remaining 5% of TI’s revenue comes from legacy businesses and other semiconductor products. While this segment is not a primary growth driver, it provides additional diversification. However, despite strong historical performance, Texas Instruments has faced a concerning decline in revenue and net income from 2022 to 2024. The company’s net income dropped from $8.7 billion in 2022 to $6.3 billion in 2023, with further declines expected in 2024 due to softening demand, rising costs, and inventory corrections. Given these financial pressures, investors should carefully monitor TI’s ability to recover and sustain long-term profitability

As seen in Illustration 8, a significant portion of Texas Instruments’ revenue is allocated to the cost of goods sold (COGS), which is expected for a semiconductor company. However, COGS does not account for as large a percentage of revenue as one might anticipate, indicating strong gross margins.

In addition, Texas Instruments invests heavily in research and development (R&D), which is a positive signal for potential investors. This commitment to innovation helps the company maintain a competitive edge in analog and embedded processing markets, ensuring long-term growth opportunities.

Overall, Texas Instruments’ revenue breakdown and expense structure present a favorable outlook for investors. The company’s diversified revenue streams and efficient cost management allow it to retain a substantial portion of earnings as net profit, reinforcing its position as a financially stable and well-managed semiconductor leader.

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Illustration 10: EPS for Texas Instruments from 2009 to 2024

Earnings Per Share (EPS) is a key financial metric that measures a company’s profitability on a per-share basis. It indicates how much profit a company generates for each outstanding share of its stock, and is used to assess a company’s financial health, profitability, and potential for growth. In other words this metric can tell us how profitable the business is.

The EPS figure itself isn’t the primary focus for value investors—it can be 0.2 or 10, but what truly matters is the company’s ability to generate consistent earnings growth. A steadily increasing EPS over time signals strong financial health, profitability, and long-term value creation.

Texas Instruments’ earnings per share (EPS) performance from 2009 to 2023 reflects a generally strong long-term trend, but recent years have shown a concerning decline. From 2009 to 2022, TI consistently grew its EPS, reaching a peak of $9.41 per share in 2022. However, in 2023, EPS dropped to $7.07, and further declines are expected in 2024 due to weakening demand, inventory corrections, and increased operational costs.

This downward trend is a red flag for investors, as it indicates that TI is struggling to maintain profit growth despite its historically strong revenue performance. However, its strong historical performance is a green sign since it shows the ability to maintain and grow profit over time. Potential Investors should in all case monitor the EPS of TI closely for sudden changes.

Assets and Liabilities

Illustration 11 and 12: Assets and Liabilities for Texas Instruments from 2009 to 2024

When evaluating a company as a potential investment, understanding its assets and liabilities is crucial. If a local business owner offered to sell their shop to you, one of the first questions—after determining its profitability—would be about its equity and assets. The same principle applies when assessing publicly traded companies like Texas Instruments.

As shown in Illustrations 11 and 12, Texas Instruments has a substantial asset base, totaling $35.5 billion in 2024. While this is lower than its competitors in the semiconductor industry, the steady asset growth over time from 2009 to 2024 is a positive sign, indicating that the company is expanding its operations, investing in new technologies, and strengthening its market position. A growing asset base often reflects a company’s ability to scale its business, acquire new projects, and improve its production capacity, which is particularly important in the competitive industry Texas Instruments is in.

At the same time, Texas Instruments’ total liabilities have also increased, rising from $2.3 billion in 2009 to $18.6 billion in 2024. . While such a sharp increase in debt might raise concerns for some investors, it is not necessarily a red flag given the nature of the semiconductor industry. Significant capital expenditures are often required for research and development, as well as for building and upgrading manufacturing facilities to remain competitive. TI has consistently invested in manufacturing capacity expansion, research and development, and supply chain resilience, which require significant capital expenditures. Unlike some competitors, TI follows a capital-efficient strategy, with a focus on maintaining strong free cash flow and shareholder returns while investing in long-term growth. However, investors should closely monitor TI’s debt levels and its ability to manage liabilities effectively, especially as profitability has declined in recent years. Ensuring that debt remains manageable and does not hinder future financial stability will be crucial for the company’s long-term success.

The key factor for investors is whether Texas Instruments can effectively manage its debt while maintaining strong revenue and profitability. If the company can generate consistent cash flow and sustain high demand for its products and services, its rising liabilities may not be a major issue. However, if debt levels continue to grow faster than revenue or profits, it could indicate financial strain, making it important for investors to monitor the company’s ability to service its obligations while maintaining profitability.

The cash on hand for Texas Instruments is a red flag for potential investors, as the company has $7.5 billion in readily available cash as of 2024. This is lower than expected, given the company’s large-scale operations and significant capital expenditures. In addition, its cash on hand is significantly lower than its long-term debt of $12.8 billion as of 2024, which indicates a potential liquidity risk. This imbalance could limit Texas Instrument’s ability to respond to unforeseen market challenges or invest in future growth opportunities without relying heavily on additional debt.

As seen in Illustration 12, Total Shareholder Equity—calculated as total assets minus total liabilities—has consistently grown over the past 14 years. This is a positive indicator for potential investors, as it suggests that Texas Instruments is building value over time rather than eroding its financial foundation. A steadily increasing shareholder equity indicates that the company’s assets are growing at a faster rate than its liabilities, which is a green flag for financial health. This trend suggests that Texas Instruments is successfully expanding its operations while maintaining a solid balance sheet. Additionally, rising equity provides a buffer against financial downturns, making the company more resilient in times of economic uncertainty. However, investors should also consider how this growth is achieved—whether through profitable operations or increased debt financing—to fully assess the sustainability of this trend. The recent dip down in total shareholder equity from 2023 to 2024 should also be strongly monitored to make sure it is not the start of a stronger downwards trend.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Illustration 13 and 14: Debt to Equity ratio for Texas Instruments from 2009 to 2024

The Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio is an important financial metric for assessing a company’s financial leverage and risk. It compares the amount of debt the company uses to finance its operations relative to its shareholder equity. A high D/E ratio suggests that the company relies more heavily on debt to fuel growth, which could increase financial risk, especially during economic downturns when managing debt obligations becomes more challenging. In contrast, a lower D/E ratio indicates that the company is primarily financed through equity, reducing financial risk but potentially limiting its ability to rapidly expand.

Legendary value investor Warren Buffett generally prefers a ratio below 0.5. Texas Instrument’s D/E ratio is currently above that and has been on the rise from 2009 to 2020, which indicates increasing reliance on debt financing over the past decade. This rising trend could suggest concerns about the company’s financial leverage and potential risks in managing its debt load. However, since 2020, it has had a downturn, which indicates a shift towards a more conservative approach in its capital structure. This decline could signal efforts by TI to reduce its debt and improve financial stability, making it potentially more appealing to long-term investors concerned about excessive debt. The D/E ratio of Texas Instruments have also been volatile indicating that while the company generally maintains a conservative approach to debt, fluctuations suggest occasional periods of increased financial leverage, which could pose risks if not managed effectively. This is not a red flag as long as the company don’t become too reliant on debt, especially the combination of increased debt and reduced revenue/profits should be strongly watched for.

Price to earnings ratio (P/E)

Illustration 15 and 16: P/E ratio for Texas Instruments from 2010 to 2025

For value investors, one of the most critical metrics when evaluating Texas Instrument’s stock is the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, as it helps assess whether the company is undervalued or overvalued. Even if a company has strong financials, purchasing its stock at a high price can lead to poor returns. For example, imagine a business generating solid profits of $1 million per year. If the owner offers to sell you the business for just $1, it would be an incredible deal. But if the owner asks for $1 trillion, even though the business is profitable, the price would be absurdly overvalued. The stock market works similarly—companies can be priced cheaply on some days and excessively expensive on others.

Warren Buffett, a legendary value investor, typically considers stocks with a P/E ratio of 15 or lower as “bargains.” A high P/E ratio suggests that investors are paying a premium for the company’s earnings, expecting significant growth. However, this also indicates that the stock is expensive relative to its earnings, which can be a red flag for value investors. The P/E of Texas Instruments has fluctuated widely in recent years, but it has over time grown from 10,15 in 2010 to 34,8 in 2025. Considering the historical prices of TI, this is also a bit high, which suggests that the stock may be overvalued relative to its fundamentals. A P/E ratio of 34.8 in 2025, combined with declining revenue and profits and increased competition, indicates that investors may be pricing in future growth expectations that might not be justified by recent financial performance. For value investors, such a high P/E ratio, especially during a period of financial weakness, is a red flag, suggesting that TI might be overpriced compared to its intrinsic value. Investors should carefully assess whether TI can justify its high valuation through future earnings growth or whether it faces risks of a price decline.

Price to book value (P/B ratio)

Illustration 17 and 18: Price to book value for Texas Instruments from 2010 to 2025.

Price-to-book value (P/B ratio) is a financial metric used to compare a company’s market value (its stock price) to its book value (the net asset value of the company, calculated as total assets minus total liabilities). The P/B ratio is calculated by dividing the current share price by the book value per share. A lower P/B ratio suggests that the stock may be undervalued, as investors are paying less for the company’s assets than their actual worth. Conversely, a high P/B ratiomay indicate that the stock is overvalued, or that investors expect high growth in the company’s future earnings. The P/B ratio is often used by value investors to assess whether a stock is trading at a fair price based on its underlying assets. Legendary Investor Warren Buffet prefers company’s with P/B lower than 1.5 and often buys around 1.3 or lower.

The price-to-book (P/B) ratio of Texas Instruments is a red flag, as it is significantly higher than its competitors and well above the levels that Warren Buffett typically considers undervalued. This suggests that the company may be overvalued relative to its book value, meaning investors are paying a high premium for its assets. Furthermore, the overall upward trend in the P/B ratio, despite a decline from 2021 to 2024, indicates that investor sentiment remains strong even as revenues and profits have weakened. This could suggest over-optimism about TI’s future growth or a disconnect between its stock price and its fundamental value. If profitability continues to decline while the P/B ratio remains high, it could signal a risk of overvaluation and potential price corrections. Investors should carefully assess whether the company’s financial performance can justify its high valuation or if the stock is trading at an unsustainable premium.

Dividend

Illustration 19: Dividend Yield and dividend payout for Texas Instruments from 2005 to 2025

Texas Instruments has established itself as a reliable dividend payer in the semiconductor industry, offering an annual dividend of $5.21 per share in 2025. This reflects the company’s commitment to returning capital to shareholders while maintaining financial stability. TI has a strong history of steady dividend growth, consistently increasing payouts since 2004, making it a favorable choice for income-seeking investors even during economic downturns.

However, there are concerns regarding TI’s dividend yield, which declined to approximately 2.8% in 2024. While the company has consistently raised its dividend over the years, slowing earnings growth and increased capital expenditures could impact future increases. Given TI’s significant investments in manufacturing expansion and R&D, there is a risk that dividend growth may slow or become less sustainable if profitability continues to decline.

✅ Green Flags:

✔ Strong Dividend History: Texas Instruments has a proven track record of dividend payments and consistent increases, making it attractive to long-term income investors.
✔ Healthy Payout Ratio: TI maintains a payout ratio around 50-60%, which suggests dividends remain sustainable under current conditions.

🚩 Red Flags:

⚠ Declining Dividend Yield: Despite rising payouts, TI’s dividend yield has dropped, signaling that stock price growth has outpaced dividend increases.
⚠ Capital-Intensive Expansion: Large investments in new manufacturing facilities and research may limit future dividend growth or put pressure on cash flow.

Insider Trading

Illustration 20: Last couple of insider trading at Texas Instruments

As shown in illustration 20, the insider trading at Texas Instrument is a red flag for potential investors as a lot of insiders are currently selling their shares in Texas Instruments. Insider selling has outpaced buying, which could be a red flag if it indicates a lack of confidence in the company’s future growth. Furthermore, the people selling stocks are the chairman of the board and high ranking officers which should be especially concerning. In addition, considering the downturn in revenue in the last couple of years this could indicate that the downwards trend could continue and that insiders don’t trust the company to turn the trend around in recent future.

Other Company Information

Founded in 1930, Texas Instruments (TI) is a global leader in semiconductor manufacturing, particularly known for its analog and embedded processing chips. As of 2024, TI employs approximately 33,000 people, reflecting a relatively stable workforce compared to previous years. The company is publicly traded on the NASDAQ under the ticker symbol TXN and operates within the Technology sector, specifically in the Semiconductors industry. As of 2024, TI has approximately 910 million shares outstanding, with a market capitalization of around $140 billion USD.

Texas Instruments is headquartered at 12500 TI Boulevard, Dallas, Texas, 75243, United States. For more information, the company’s official website is http://www.ti.com.

Final Verdict

Investing in Texas Instruments Incorporated (TI) offers a compelling mix of stability and strategic positioning. TI is a leading analog and embedded semiconductor company, known for its strong operational efficiency and long-standing commitment to returning capital to shareholders. The company has raised its dividend for 20 consecutive years, with a current dividend yield of approximately 2.9% and a payout ratio near 65%, signaling healthy cash flow management. TI’s focus on industrial and automotive markets—which together make up nearly 80% of its revenue—offers steady long-term growth potential driven by increasing chip content in everyday devices.

However, caution is still warranted. TI’s revenue declined about 10% year-over-year in 2024, reflecting cyclical headwinds and weaker demand in some end markets. Moreover, the stock trades at a P/E ratio of roughly 23, which may be considered high relative to historical averages, especially in a softening macro environment. Competition from firms like Analog Devices and Infineon is also intensifying.

NextEra Energy: An In-Depth Stock Analysis of one of the Leading Renewable Energy Providers in the U.S.

Introduction to the Company

NextEra Energy, Inc. is one of the largest energy companies in the United States and a global leader in renewable energy. With a strong commitment to sustainability and innovation, NextEra Energy has positioned itself as a key player in the transition toward cleaner energy solutions. The company primarily focuses on generating electricity through renewable sources while maintaining reliability and affordability for millions of customers.

Illustration 1: NextEra Energy logo, symbolizing renewable energy with use of green colour and leaf like wave.

History and Background

NextEra Energy traces its origins back to 1925, when it was founded as Florida Power & Light Company (FPL). Over the years, the company expanded its operations and evolved into a diversified energy powerhouse. In 1984, FPL Group was established as the parent company, and in 2010, it was rebranded as NextEra Energy to reflect its growing emphasis on renewable energy.

Today, NextEra Energy is headquartered in Juno Beach, Florida, and has grown through strategic acquisitions and investments in wind, solar, and battery storage technologies. The company owns and operates one of the world’s largest portfolios of renewable energy assets, making it a key player in the clean energy transition.

Operation and Services

NextEra Energy serves a vast customer base across 49 states in the U.S. and four Canadian provinces. The company operates through two major business segments:

Florida Power & Light Company (FPL) – This segment focuses on electricity generation, transmission, and distribution in Florida. It is the backbone of the company’s regulated electric utility business, serving over 5.8 million customer accounts

NextEra Energy Resources – This segment handles renewable energy generation, including wind, solar, and battery storage projects. It also manages natural gas pipelines and nuclear power plants, ensuring that NextEra Energy is a key player in the transition toward cleaner energy sources

As can be seen from illustration two, the majority of NextEra’s energy generation comes from wind and solar power.


Illustration 2: The generation allocation of NextEra Energy

Wind Energy makes up 67% of its generation while solar makes up 13%. NextEra Enegy is as such a fanatstic company to invest in for those that want to be exposed to the renewable energy market.

The company is also invested in nuclear energy, constituiting 11% of its total energy generation, while only a minor part of the business constituting 6% is part of the Natural gas market.

Challenges and Controversies

Environmental Concerns: Despite its significant investments in renewable energy, NextEra Energy has faced criticism for its environmental impact. The company has been involved in disputes over the development of certain projects that environmental groups claim disrupt ecosystems and communities.  Additionally, the capital-intensive nature of renewable energy projects has raised concerns about the sustainability of its financial practices

Regulatory and Legal Issues: Operating in a highly regulated industry, NextEra Energy has encountered various regulatory and legal challenges. These include disputes over rate adjustments, infrastructure expansion, and compliance with federal and state environmental laws. The company has also been involved in legal battles to block competing energy projects, which has drawn scrutiny and criticism

Competition

NextEra Energy operates in a highly competitive landscape, facing significant competition from other major utility and renewable energy companies. Some of its main competitors include: Southern Company (SO), Duke Energy (DUK), Entergy (ETR9, PPL Corporation (PPL), FirstEnergy (FE), Eversource Energy (ES), Edison International (EIX), Pinnacle West Capital (PNW), OGE Energy (OGE), and IDACORP (IDA).

These companies are all part of the electric utilities industry and compete with NextEra Energy in various aspects, including market share, technological advancements, and regulatory compliance.

NextEra Energy stands out from its competitors by being the world’s largest generator of wind and solar power, leading the transition to a low-carbon future. Its size and expertise gives it a competitive advantage. The investments the company has made in getting more advanced technologies to enhance efficiency and reduce costs, also solidifies their competitive edge.


However, the highly competitive environment in which they operate is a factor that investors should carefully consider, as it could pose potential risks.

Future outlook

Several factors will shape NextEra Energy’s future:

Expansion of Offshore Wind: NextEra Energy’s offshore wind projects will play a critical role in achieving clean energy goals. As more offshore wind projects receive government backing, NextEra stands to benefit from regulatory support and technological advancements.

Electrification of Transportation: As electric vehicle (EV) adoption grows, NextEra Energy is investing in EV infrastructure, including charging stations and grid upgrades to accommodate increased demand.

Advancements in Energy Storage: The development of more efficient and cost-effective battery storage solutions will be crucial for integrating intermittent renewable energy sources like solar and wind.


Stock Analysis

In this section, we will analyze NextEra Energy stock to determine if it is a good investment. Our philosophy is value investing, which means we seek high-quality companies that are undervalued. However, we will provide a comprehensive overview so that investors with different philosophies can evaluate the stock for themselves.

Revenue and Profits

To assess a company’s value and investment potential, revenue and profits are the logical starting points for analysis. A stock represents an actual business, much like the small businesses in your hometown. If someone offered to sell you their company, your first question would likely be about its earnings. The same principle applies when evaluating a publicly traded company—understanding its financial performance is essential before deciding to invest.

Illustration 2 and 3: Revenue of NextEra Energy from 2009 to 2024.

As seen in Illustrations 2 and 3, NextEra Energy’s revenue has shown a long-term growth, particularly in recent years. This expansion is driven by increasing demand for renewable energy, investments in infrastructure, and the company’s leadership in wind and solar power generation. Additionally, supportive government policies, tax incentives, and commitments to clean energy continue to drive sales, positioning NextEra Energy for sustained growth.

However, despite this overall upward trend, NextEra Energy’s revenue growth has experienced fluctuations. As shown in Illustrations 2 and 3, there have been periods where revenue declined due to factors such as regulatory changes, shifts in energy prices, and project timing. The utility and renewable energy sectors are subject to policy adjustments and market dynamics that can impact earnings, making it essential for investors to consider these risks. It is especially important to note that the Trump administration is opposed to the Wind sector which stands for the majority of NextEra’s energy generation.

Even with occasional volatility, the long-term outlook remains strong. With the increasing global transition to renewable energy, NextEra Energy is well-positioned to capitalize on this shift. Its investments in clean energy infrastructure, expansion into emerging markets, and strong operational efficiency suggest a promising future despite short-term revenue fluctuations. However, it has a lot of competitors and the current US administration is not as supportive of renewable energy as previous administrations.

Illustration 4 and 5: Net Income of NextEra Energy from 2009 to 2025

Net income is a crucial metric to evaluate when determining whether a company is a worthwhile investment. It represents a company’s net profit or loss after accounting for all revenues, income items, and expenses, calculated as Net Income = Revenue – Expenses.

As illustrated in Figures 4 and 5, NextEra Energy has experienced significant net income growth over the long term, particularly in recent years. For instance, the company’s net income rose from $3.573 billion in 2021 to $4.147 billion in 2022, marking a 16.06% increase. This upward trend continued in 2023, with net income reaching $7.31 billion—a substantial 76.27% increase from the previous year. This growth is driven by rising global demand for renewable energy, strategic investments in wind and solar projects, and expansion into energy storage and infrastructure development. Additionally, favorable government policies and commitments to clean energy continue to fuel revenue, positioning the company for sustained growth.

However, despite this overall upward trend, NextEra Energy’s net income has experienced fluctuations. In 2024, the company’s net income decreased by approximately 8.79% to $6.952 billion, down from $7.31 billion in 2023. This decline is partly due to increased costs impacting its renewables segment and higher operating expenses. And ofcoursw it had a sharp fall from 2018 to 2020. For investors, this inconsistency raises concerns, as it suggests that NextEra Energy may not deliver steady net income growth year after year, making it a potentially riskier investment compared to companies with more predictable financial performance. Even though net income growth has been inconsistent, the long-term trend remains upward. Considering the rising global demand for energy, the increasing popularity of renewable power, and the momentum of the green energy transition, NextEra Energy is well-positioned for future growth. These factors, combined with the company’s expanding project backlog and strategic partnerships, suggest a promising outlook despite short-term volatility.

Revenue breakdown

Illustration 6: Revenue Breakdown for NextEra Energy, gathered from gurufocus as of NOV 31, 2023.

As can be seen in Illustration 6, the majority of NextEra Energy’s revenue comes from Florida Power & Light Company, but a significant portion (17.8%) is generated by NextEra Energy Resources LLC. This diversification provides investors with exposure to both clean energy growth and the stability of a traditional utility business. Despite cost of goods sold (COGS) consuming a substantial share of its revenue, the company continues to have a significant and good amount of revenue. Additionally, high capital expenditures for clean energy development and grid modernization impact profitability. While NextEra Energy benefits from a strong market position and steady utility revenue, these costs could affect its long-term earnings growth, making it an important factor for investors to consider.

Earnings per shar (EPS)

Earnings Per Share (EPS) is a key financial metric that measures a company’s profitability on a per-share basis. It indicates how much profit a company generates for each outstanding share of its stock, and is used o assess a company’s financial health, profitability, and potential for growth. In other words this metric can tell us how profitable the business is.

Illustration 7: Earnings per share for NextEra Energy from 2009 to 2025

The EPS figure itself isn’t the primary focus for value investors—it can be 0.2 or 10, but what truly matters is the company’s ability to generate consistent earnings growth. A steadily increasing EPS over time signals strong financial health, profitability, and long-term value creation.

The EPS for NextEra Energy has had a generally positive upward trend since 2009. However, it experienced a dramatic fall from 2019 to 2020 due to the economic downturn and market disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, along with increased costs and project delays. This decline can be a red flag for investors, as it highlights the company’s sensitivity to external economic factors and potential volatility in earnings. However, after the fall, the trend has resumed its upward trajectory, supported by strong investments in renewable energy, stable utility revenue from Florida Power & Light, and favorable industry policies. As a result, the EPS has now returned to pre-fall levels, reinforcing NextEra Energy’s resilience and long-term growth potential. The pandemic can also be considered a one-time event, and the fall in 2024 due to rising interest rates and increased costs in the renewables sector can also be seen as a temporary setback rather than a long-term structural issue. Given NextEra Energy’s strong track record of recovery and consistent long-term growth, these fluctuations are likely part of normal business cycles rather than a sign of fundamental weakness.

Assets and Liabilities

Illustration 8 and 9: Assets and liabilities for NextEra Energy from 2009 to 2023

When evaluating a company as a potential investment, understanding its assets and liabilities is crucial. If a local business owner offered to sell their shop to you, one of the first questions—after determining its profitability—would be about its equity and assets. The same principle applies when assessing publicly traded companies like Dominion Energy.

As shown in Illustration 8, NextEra Energy’s total assets reached $177.5 billion in 2023, a strong figure that highlights the company’s financial growth. Additionally, NextEra Energy’s asset base has consistently expanded year over year, increasing from $48.5 billion in 2009 to $177.5 billion in 2023. This steady asset growth is a positive indicator of the company’s ongoing expansion, investments in innovative technologies, and strengthened market position. A continuously growing asset base often signifies a company’s ability to scale operations, acquire new projects, and enhance production capacity which is particularly important in the highly competitive renewable energy industry.

At the same time, NextEra’s total liabilities have also increased significantly, rising from $35.5 billion in 2009 to $119.7 billion in 2023. While such a sharp increase in debt might raise concerns for some investors, it is not necessarily a red flag given the nature of the renewable energy business. Utility companies typically operate in a capital-intensive environment where they must secure substantial financing to fund large-scale projects, develop infrastructure, and maintain their competitive edge. Debt financing is often necessary for expanding wind farm and other types of energy production, all of which contribute to long-term growth.

The key factor for investors is whether NextEra can effectively manage its debt while maintaining strong revenue and profitability. If the company can generate consistent cash flow and sustain high demand for its products and services, its rising liabilities may not be a major issue. However, if debt levels continue to grow faster than revenue or profits, it could indicate financial strain, making it important for investors to monitor the company’s ability to service its obligations while maintaining profitability.

The cash on hand for NextEra is a red flag for potential investors, as the company has $2.7 billion in readily available cash as of 2023. This amount is relatively low compared to its liabilities, which could indicate liquidity concerns and a reliance on external financing to meet obligations and fund growth.

Additionally, NextEra’s long-term debt of $61.4 billion in 2023 is significantly higher than its available cash, which is a red flag for investors. This indicates that the company relies heavily on debt financing, which could pose risks if interest rates rise or if cash flow weakens, potentially impacting its ability to meet financial obligations and sustain growth.

As seen in Illustration 9, Total Shareholder Equity—calculated as total assets minus total liabilities—has consistently grown over the past 14 years. This is a very positive indicator for potential investors, as it suggests that NextEra is building value over time rather than eroding its financial foundation. A steadily increasing shareholder equity indicates that the company’s assets are growing at a faster rate than its liabilities, which is a green flag for financial health. This trend suggests that NextEra is successfully expanding its operations while maintaining a solid balance sheet. Additionally, rising equity provides a buffer against financial downturns, making the company more resilient in times of economic uncertainty. However, investors should also consider how this growth is achieved—whether through profitable operations or increased debt financing—to fully assess the sustainability of this trend.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Illustration 10 and 11: Debt to equity for NextEra Energy from 2009 to 2023

The Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio is an important financial metric for assessing Next Era’s financial leverage and risk. It compares the amount of debt the company uses to finance its operations relative to its shareholder equity. A high D/E ratio suggests that the company relies more heavily on debt to fuel growth, which could increase financial risk, especially during economic downturns when managing debt obligations becomes more challenging. In contrast, a lower D/E ratio indicates that Next Era is primarily financed through equity, reducing financial risk but potentially limiting its ability to rapidly expand.

The D/E ratio of NextEra Energy has been on a downward trend from around 2.8 in 2009–2010 to 2.05 in 2024. This is a positive sign for investors since it indicates that the company is gradually reducing its reliance on debt relative to equity. A lower D/E ratio suggests improved financial stability, reduced risk of overleveraging, and a stronger ability to manage long-term obligations while continuing to invest in growth.

Legendary value-investor Warren Buffett prefers a D/E ratio of below 0.5. Compared to 0.5, NextEra is still at a very high level. However, this is normal for companies in the renewable utility industry since they often require significant capital investment to fund large-scale projects, develop infrastructure, and expand renewable energy capacity. While NextEra’s D/E ratio is higher than Buffett’s preferred level, it reflects the capital-intensive nature of the energy sector and the company’s ongoing efforts to scale its operations and meet growing demand for clean energy.

Price to earnings ratio (P/E)

Illustration 12 and 13: Price to earnings ratio for NextEra Energy from 2009 to 2023

For value investors, one of the most critical metrics when evaluating NextEra’s stock is the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, as it helps assess whether the company is undervalued or overvalued. Even if a company has strong financials, purchasing its stock at a high price can lead to poor returns. For example, imagine a business generating solid profits of $1 million per year. If the owner offers to sell you the business for just $1, it would be an incredible deal. But if the owner asks for $1 trillion, even though the business is profitable, the price would be absurdly overvalued. The stock market works similarly—companies can be priced cheaply on some days and excessively expensive on others.

Warren Buffett, a legendary value investor, typically considers stocks with a P/E ratio of 15 or lower as “bargains.” A high P/E ratio suggests that investors are paying a premium for the company’s earnings, expecting significant growth. However, this also indicates that the stock is expensive relative to its earnings, which can be a red flag for value investors. NextEra’s P/E ratio has been on a relatively stable level from 2010 to 2018. From 2018 as renewable stocks became popular on the stock market its P/E skyrocket to a high of 107.21 in 2022 which is strongly overprices. Before the bubble burst and it came back to 17.19 in 2024.

The mania for renewable energy stocks seems to have slowed down after the bubble burst in 2022. For potential investors, the P/E of 20.2 in 2025 seems fairly priced, meaning that you will not be buying at a bargain but also not overpaying for the stock. If you believe in the company’s future earnings potential and strong fundamentals, it could be a good time to enter at a reasonable valuation and hold for long-term growth.


Dividend

Illustration 14: NextEra Energy’s dividend yield and dividend payout from 1995 to 2025

NextEra Energy stands out among renewable energy companies by offering a consistent dividend, making it an attractive option for income-focused investors. In 2025, NextEra’s annual dividend is $1.55 per share, reflecting its commitment to returning value to shareholders. Additionally, the company has a strong track record of increasing its dividend, with a five-year annualized growth rate of approximately 10%, demonstrating steady financial health and shareholder rewards.

NextEra Energy has demonstrated remarkable consistency in its dividend payments, making it a reliable choice for income-focused investors. The company has increased its dividend for over 25 consecutive years, reflecting strong earnings growth and disciplined financial management. Even during economic downturns and market volatility, NextEra has continued to raise its payouts, reinforcing its commitment to returning value to shareholders. This level of consistency is a positive sign, as it indicates that the company generates stable cash flows and prioritizes rewarding long-term investors while continuing to invest in its renewable energy expansion. However, as can be seen in illustration 14, despite the dividend payout increasing, the dividend yield has been on a steady decline.

While NextEra’s dividend yield of around 2.2% (as of 2025) may not be the highest in the utility sector, it remains a reliable source of income, especially when combined with the company’s long-term growth prospects in renewable energy. For investors seeking a mix of dividend income and exposure to clean energy, NextEra presents a compelling case. However, given its high debt levels and capital-intensive business model, investors should monitor whether the company can sustain its dividend growth while continuing to invest in future expansion.

To summarize:

Green Flag:

  • Consistent Dividend Growth: NextEra has a strong history of dividend increases, making it a solid choice for income investors.
  • Balanced Strategy: The company provides both income and long-term growth potential, appealing to a broad range of investors.

🚩 Red Flag:

  • Debt Reliance: Maintaining dividends alongside significant capital expenditures requires careful financial management.
  • Moderate Yield: While NextEra pays dividends, its yield is lower than some traditional utility stocks.

Insider Trading

Illustration 14: Recent Insider Selling for NextEra Energy

A crucial metric to consider when evaluating whether a company is worth investing in is insider trading activity—specifically, whether company insiders have been buying or selling shares over the past year. It’s particularly important to assess who has been trading, as directors should be monitored even more closely than officers.

As can be seen from the table above, there has been no selling by any mayor insiders recently. The insiders who have been selling stock has been lower level officers and directors of subsidiaries. This is a green flag for investors since it shows that insiders are confident in the company as they have not sold their shares.

Other Company Info

As illustrated below, NextEra Energy currently employs approximately 16,800 individuals, reflecting a steady increase from 14,900 employees in 2020. The company was originally founded in 1925 as Florida Power & Light Company and later rebranded as NextEra Energy in 2010 to reflect its expansion into renewable energy. It is publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol NEE. Operating within the Utilities sector, NextEra Energy is classified under the Electric Utilities industry. The company has approximately 2.06 billion shares outstanding and a market capitalization of around $120 billion USD as of 2024.

Headquartered at 700 Universe Boulevard, Juno Beach, Florida 33408, United States, NextEra Energy’s official website is www.nexteraenergy.com.

Illustration 15-17: : Number of employees at NextEra Energy and its location in Juno Beach, Florida.

Final Verdict

NextEra Energy offers a compelling opportunity for investors seeking exposure to renewable energy, particularly wind and solar power, as well as energy storage solutions. The company has secured significant contracts with major corporations like Google and Walmart and continues to expand its clean energy initiatives. With a strong focus on sustainability and innovation, NextEra is well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for carbon-free energy and play a leading role in the transition to a greener economy.

However, while NextEra Energy has experienced strong growth, there are some concerns related to its financial performance. Despite increasing revenue, high capital expenditures and significant debt levels to fund its renewable energy projects have put pressure on profitability. Additionally, the company’s cost of sales (COGS) remains substantial, impacting margins. While NextEra has maintained a stable dividend and solid market position, its reliance on debt and ongoing capital investment may raise concerns for some investors.

That said, it is important to note that NextEra Energy is a leader in the renewable energy space and is poised for long-term growth given the ongoing expansion of clean energy infrastructure. For growth-oriented investors who believe in the future of renewable energy and are willing to accept potential short-term financial volatility, NextEra presents a strong investment opportunity. However, for more conservative investors seeking a company with consistent profitability and low financial risk, NextEra Energy may not be the ideal choice.

Constellation Energy: A Powerhouse in Clean Energy and Strategic Growth (Stock Analysis)

Introduction

Constellation Energy Corporation stands as a prominent American energy company specializing in electric power, natural gas, and energy management services. Serving approximately two million customers across the continental United States, Constellation has solidified its position as a key player in the nation’s energy sector.

Company History

The origins of Constellation Energy trace back to 1999 when Baltimore Gas and Electric Company (BGE) established it as a holding company. Over the years, Constellation expanded its operations, becoming a Fortune 500 company and one of the largest electricity producers in the United States. In 2012, a significant merger with Exelon Corporation occurred, leading to the rebranding of its energy supply business as Constellation, an Exelon company. This merger integrated Constellation’s extensive energy production capabilities with Exelon’s resources, enhancing its market presence.

A decade later, in 2022, Constellation Energy was spun off from Exelon, reestablishing itself as an independent entity. Former subsidiary Baltimore Gas & Electric remained part of Exelon. Since becoming independent, Constellation has grown and made headlines by, in September 2024, entering into a contract with Microsoft to restart the undamaged nuclear reactor at the Three Mile Island plant. The company is also planning to upgrade other existing reactor plants to provide more power.

In January 2025, Constellation agreed to acquire the natural gas and geothermal power provider Calpine for $16.4 billion ($26.6bn including debt) in a cash-and-stock deal. Approval of the purchase by state and federal regulators will be necessary.

Operations and Business Overview

Constellation Energy operates a diverse portfolio of energy assets, encompassing nuclear, natural gas, wind, solar, and hydroelectric power. With a total capacity of approximately 32,400 megawatts, the company generates enough energy to power 16 million homes and businesses. Notably, Constellation is the nation’s largest producer of carbon-free energy, contributing to 10% of all clean power on the U.S. grid. This diverse energy mix not only ensures reliability but also underscores the company’s commitment to sustainability.

Illustration 1: Constellation Energy logo symbolizing energy flow and commitment to sustainability.

Constellation Energy’s operation currently includes natural gas, nuclear energy, wind energy, hydro energy and solar energy. The company will probably also het into geothermal power after the aquisition of Calpine.

Customer Base and Energy Supply

Constellation Energy serves a wide range of customers, from residential users to large industrial corporations and government entities. Many Fortune 500 companies, including Amazon, Microsoft, and McDonald’s, have signed long-term power agreements with Constellation to secure 100% renewable energy for their operations.


Illustration 2: Constellation Energy Generating Cpacity breakdown

The largest energy source for Constellation in Nuclear energy. Constellation Energy is the largest producer of carbon-free electricity in the U.S., with 23 nuclear reactors across 14 sites producing about 21,000 megawatts (MW) of clean energy. Constellation’s nuclear fleet is primarily located in Illinois, Maryland, New York, and Pennsylvania. The company has heavily invested in extending the life of existing nuclear plants and is exploring small modular reactors (SMRs) as part of its future strategy. The company has heavily invested in extending the life of existing nuclear plants and is exploring small modular reactors (SMRs) as part of its future strategy.

While Constellation focuses on clean energy, natural gas-fired power plants remain an important part of its operations. The company has 6,000+ MW of natural gas capacity, making it one of the largest gas-fired power producers in the country, and it is its second largest energy source at the moment.

As part of its clean energy initiative, Constellation operates multiple large-scale wind and solar farms across the U.S. Constellation Energy also operates hydroelectric power plants, although this segment represents a smaller portion of its total energy mix.

Competitors and Competitive Advantage

In the competitive energy market, Constellation Energy faces competition from major providers such as Duke Energy, NextEra Energy, and Southern Company. Constellation’s competitive advantage lies in its diverse energy mix, substantial carbon-free energy production, and strategic partnerships. The company’s focus on renewable energy and innovative solutions positions it well to meet the evolving demands of the energy market.

Illustration 3: Constellation Energy is a big player in the Nuclear Energy Market

One of Constellation’s major competitive advantages is its nuclear energy infrastructure, which ensures stable, 24/7 clean energy compared to intermittent renewables like wind and solar. The company has also secured long-term energy contracts with major corporations like Amazon, Microsoft, and McDonald’s, providing a steady revenue stream. Additionally, Constellation is investing in carbon capture technology, hydrogen development, and smart grid innovations to stay ahead in the clean energy transition.

Community Engagement

Beyond its business operations, Constellation is deeply involved in community initiatives. The company ranks second in local corporate giving among Baltimore-based companies, donating $7.10 million in 2017. Additionally, Constellation provides grants to local schools that implement education programs promoting science and technology, reflecting its commitment to fostering education and community development.


Stock Analysis

Revenue and Profit

To assess a company’s true value and investment potential, analyzing its revenue and profits is a fundamental first step. It’s important to remember that a stock represents ownership in a real business, much like the small companies in your local community. If a small business owner approached you with an offer to buy their company, your first questions would likely be: “What’s the price?” and “How much does the company generate in revenue and profit each year?”

Beyond just current earnings, it’s crucial to examine the company’s financial performance over time. This helps determine whether recent profits are part of a consistent upward trend, or if they are temporary spikes or part of a larger decline. A long-term perspective ensures that an investment is based on sustainable growth rather than short-term fluctuations.

Illustration 4 and 5: Revenue of Constellation Energy from 2019 to 2023. Due to Constellation becoming an independent company from Exelon first in 2022, numbers for Constellation Energy is not available before 2019.

As illustrated in Figures 4 and 5, Constellation Energy’s revenue has shown a steady upward trend over the past five years. While this may not provide a long-term dataset for deep historical analysis, the consistent growth in revenue is a positive indicator that should not be overlooked by investors. A steadily increasing revenue stream suggests strong demand, effective business operations, and potential for future profitability. Moreover, this trend signals that the company is successfully expanding its market presence and capitalizing on industry growth opportunities, making it a promising prospect for long-term investors.

Revenue breakdown

Illustration 6: Revenue breakdown of Constellation Energy gathered from gurufocus.

As shown in Illustration 6, Constellation Energy’s revenue comes from a diverse range of sources, which is a positive sign for investors. A diversified revenue stream indicates that the company is not overly reliant on any single source of income, reducing risk and providing stability. However, it’s important to note that the company’s COGS (Cost of Goods Sold) eats up a significant portion of its revenue. This is a negative aspect, as high operating costs, particularly related to fuel and maintenance, eat into profitability. While it is common in the energy sector, the substantial impact of these costs means that a large chunk of revenue is absorbed by expenses, limiting the company’s ability to generate higher profits.

Net Income

Illustration 7 and 8: Net Income of Constellation Energy for the past five years. Due to Constellation becoming an independent company from Exelon first in 2022, numbers for Constellation Energy is not available before 2019.

Net income is a crucial metric to evaluate when determining whether a company is a worthwhile investment. It represents a company’s net profit or loss after accounting for all revenues, income items, and expenses, calculated as Net Income = Revenue – Expenses.

The Net Income of Constellation Energy raises a red flag, as it has not only remained at a low level but has also been negative at times, meaning the company’s expenses have exceeded its revenue. This suggests that Constellation has been operating at a loss in certain periods, which is concerning for potential investors. Negative net income indicates that the company is struggling to control costs or increase profitability, which could raise doubts about its financial health and ability to generate sustainable returns. It is crucial for investors to carefully monitor this trend, as ongoing losses could signal deeper operational or strategic issues that need to be addressed.

Earnings per Share (EPS)

Illustration 9: Earnings per share for Constellation Energy from 2019 to 2013. Due to Constellation becoming an independent company from Exelon first in 2022, numbers for Constellation Energy is not available before 2019.

Earnings Per Share (EPS) is a key financial metric that measures a company’s profitability on a per-share basis. It indicates how much profit a company generates for each outstanding share of its stock, and is used o assess a company’s financial health, profitability, and potential for growth. In other words this metric can tell us how profitable the business is. The EPS figure itself isn’t the primary focus for value investors—it can be 0.2 or 10, but what truly matters is the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio and the company’s ability to generate consistent earnings growth. A steadily increasing EPS over time signals strong financial health, profitability, and long-term value creation.

For Constellation Energy, its EPS performance raises concerns, making it more of a red flag than a green one. Over the past few years, Constellation’s EPS has been inconsistent, with periods of negative earnings, indicating that the company has struggled with profitability. A fluctuating or negative EPS is a warning sign for investors, as it suggests unstable earnings and financial uncertainty. Ideally, long-term investors look for companies with a steadily growing EPS, as this signals strong financial health and increasing shareholder value—something Constellation has yet to demonstrate consistently.

Additionally, because Constellation operates in the capital-intensive energy sector, high costs related to fuel, maintenance, and infrastructure investments eat into its profits, making it difficult to maintain a strong EPS. Unless the company significantly improves its profitability, reduces its cost structure, or benefits from external factors like rising electricity prices, its EPS will remain a concern for investors looking for stability and long-term growth. While Constellation Energy has potential in the clean energy sector, its EPS performance suggests higher risk, making it less attractive for conservative, value-focused investors.

Assets and Liabilities

Illustration 10 and 11: Assets and Liabilities of Constellation Energy from 2019 to 2023. ue to Constellation becoming an independent company from Exelon first in 2022, numbers for Constellation Energy is not available before 2019.

When evaluating a company as a potential investment, understanding its assets and liabilities is crucial. If a local businesses offered to sell their shop to you —after determining revenue and profit—you would be asking about the business’s debt and the value of its assets. The same principle applies when assessing publicly traded companies like Constellation Energy.

The company’s assets have remained consistently high, fluctuating between $48-50 billion USD, which is a positive sign of financial stability. Notably, its total assets exceed its liabilities and debt, indicating a strong financial position and overall good financial health. This is generally a green flag for investors, as it suggests the company has a solid foundation to support its operations.

However, as illustrated in Figure 10, a concerning trend has emerged. Over the past five years, total liabilities and debt have steadily increased, while the company’s assets have remained stagnant. This shift is a negative signal, as it suggests that the company’s financial position has weakened over time. An increasing debt burden without corresponding asset growth raises questions about how efficiently the company is managing its finances and whether it is taking on too much risk.

Additionally, Constellation Energy’s cash on hand is at a worryingly low level, especially when compared to its rising debt. This is a red flag, as it indicates the company may not be adequately prepared to handle financial downturns, unexpected expenses, or economic uncertainties. A low cash reserve limits flexibility and could force the company to take on more debt or issue new shares in difficult times, potentially diluting shareholder value.

While the company remains financially stable for now, investors should closely monitor its rising debt levels and limited cash reserves, as these factors could impact long-term financial sustainability and overall risk exposure. The most important indicator when assessing a company’s financial health is Total Shareholder Equity, which is calculated as: Total Shareholder Equity=Total Assets−Total Liabilities. As can be seen from illustration 11, its total shareholder equity has gradually decreased because of rising liabiltities something that is a red flag for potential investors and should be closely monitored.

Debt to Equity Ratio

Illustration 12: The Debt to Equity Ratio of Constellation Energy from 2019 to 2014.

The Debt-to-Equity (D/E) ratio is a key financial metric used to assess a company’s financial leverage and risk. It measures how much debt a company uses to finance its operations relative to shareholder equity. A high D/E ratio (greater than 1.0) suggests that the company relies heavily on debt financing, which can amplify financial risk, particularly during economic downturns when debt obligations may become more difficult to manage. In contrast, a low D/E ratio (below 1.0) indicates that the company is primarily financed through equity rather than debt, reducing financial risk but potentially limiting rapid expansion. A negative D/E ratio, on the other hand, signals that a company has more liabilities than equity—often considered a warning sign for investors.

Constellation Energy has a high D/E which was 3.5 in 2024, and has generally been over 3 the past 5 years which is a very high level. Constellation Energy’s D/E ratio has remained at an elevated level, meaning that the company is more dependent on debt financing rather than funding growth through retained earnings or equity. This is particularly concerning because rising interest rates and economic downturns could make it harder for the company to manage its debt burden. If Constellation continues to accumulate liabilities while its equity remains stagnant or grows at a slower pace, it could lead to higher financial strain and potential difficulties in meeting debt obligations.

A high D/E ratio is not unusual for utility companies, as they often require significant capital investment for infrastructure, maintenance, and expansion. However, when compared to competitors, Constellation’s debt levels are on the higher side, making it a riskier choice for conservative investors.

Price to earnings ratio (P/E)

Illustration 13 and 14: P/E ratio for Constellation Energy from 2019 to 2025. The P/E ratio was negative for 2021 and 2022 as the EPS was negative.

For value investors, the most important metric when evaluating a stock is the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, which helps determine whether a company is undervalued or overvalued. if a company has outstanding financials, buying its stock at an excessively high price can lead to poor returns. To illustrate this, imagine a local barber shop that generates solid profits. If the owner offers to sell you the business for $1, it would be an incredible dery al. However, if he tries to sell it for $1 billion, no matter how successful the shop is, the price would be absurdly overvalued. The stock market operates in a similar way—companies can be cheaply priced on some days and highly expensive on others.

In the past couple of years the P/E ratio of Constellation has been around 23-24 which is average and suggest that the company is neither undervalued nor overvalued. However, the P/E ratio of 33,77 in January 2025 can be considered high. A high P/E ratio suggests that the company’s stock is priced at a premium relative to its earnings, indicating that investors expect substantial future growth. However, such expectations may not align with the company’s actual performance, especially considering Constellation Energy’s recent financial challenges, including inconsistent earnings and rising debt levels. It’s also important to note that Constellation Energy’s P/E ratio has experienced considerable volatility. For instance, at the end of 2022, the company had a negative P/E ratio of -177, reflecting periods of negative earnings. The P/E is a negative flag and suggest that the price is too high for valueinvestors.

Dividend

The company follows a quarterly dividend payment schedule. For instance, in 2024, dividends of $0.3525 per share were declared in February, May, July, and November, with corresponding ex-dividend dates and payment dates in the subsequent months. This regularity provides investors with a predictable income stream.

Constellation Energy has demonstrated a consistent increase in its dividend payouts over the past few years. Here’s a summary of the annual dividends per share:

  • 2024: $1.41
  • 2023: $1.128
  • 2022: $0.564

t’s important to note that Constellation Energy’s dividend yield remains relatively modest compared to industry averages. As of January 2025, the yield stands at 0.42%, which is lower than the typical yield for utility companies. The company’s dividend payout ratio stands at around 15.55%, suggesting that a modest portion of earnings is allocated to dividends, which may indicate potential for future increases.

In summary, Constellation Energy’s increasing dividends and consistent payment schedule are positive indicators for investors seeking stable returns. However, the yield is modest, and the company’s payout ratio is prudent. This reflects a strategy aimed at sustainable growth and financial stability, but is also bad news for dividend investors as the dividend for Constellation Energy is far lower compared to other utility companies and to the stock market as a whole.

Insider Trading

A crucial metric to consider when evaluating whether a company is worth investing in is insider trading activity—specifically, whether company insiders have been buying or selling shares over the past year. It’s particularly important to assess who has been trading, as directors should be monitored even more closely than officers.

As can be seen from the table below, there has been no selling by any insiders recently. This is a green flag for investors since it shows that insiders are confident in the company as they have not sold their shares.

Illustration 15: Most recent Constellation Energy Insider Trades

Other Company Info

As illustrated below, Constellation Energy currently employs approximately 13,871 individuals, reflecting a steady increase from 11,696 employees in 2021.The company was established in 1999 and, following a merger with Exelon in 2012, re-emerged as an independent entity in 2022 after a corporate spin-off. It is publicly traded on the NASDAQ stock exchange under the ticker symbol CEG. Operating within the Utilities sector, Constellation Energy is classified under the Multi-Utilities industry.The company has approximately 319 million shares outstanding and a market capitalization of around $95.453 billion USD.

Headquartered at 1310 Point Street, Baltimore, Maryland 21231, United States, Constellation Energy’s official website is http://www.constellationenergy.com.

Final Verdict

Constellation Energy offers an exciting opportunity for investors looking to gain exposure to nuclear and renewable energy. The company has secured high-profile business deals with Amazon and Microsoft and has contracts in place to expand its clean energy portfolio. With a strong commitment to sustainability and future-oriented investments, Constellation is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for carbon-free energy.

However, the company’s financial performance raises concerns. Both revenue and net income have fluctuated significantly over the past few years, and high COGS (Cost of Goods Sold) consumes a large portion of profits. Additionally, total shareholder equity has declined, as assets have remained stable while liabilities and debt have increased. These factors indicate potential financial instability and a lack of consistent profitability.

That said, it is crucial to consider that Constellation Energy only recently became an independent company, meaning the available financial data is somewhat limited. Moreover, rising liabilities are not uncommon for companies heavily investing in large-scale projects like nuclear and renewable energy. For growth-oriented investors who believe in the long-term potential of clean energy, Constellation Energy could be a compelling, albeit risky, investment. However, for value investors seeking a financially stable and undervalued company with strong past performance, Constellation Energy is not an ideal choice.

Dividends 101

What Is a Dividend?

A dividend is the distribution of some of a company’s earnings to a class of its shareholders, as determined by the company’s board of directors. Common shareholders of dividend-paying companies are typically eligible as long as they own the stock before the ex-dividend date. Dividends may be paid out as cash or in the form of additional stock or other property. Along with companies, various mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETF) also pay dividends.

A dividend is a token reward paid to the shareholders for their investment in a company’s equity, and it usually originates from the company’s net profits. While the major portion of the profits is kept within the company as retained earnings–which represent the money to be used for the company’s ongoing and future business activities–the remainder can be allocated to the shareholders as a dividend. At times, companies may still make dividend payments even when they don’t make suitable profits. They may do so to maintain their established track record of making regular dividend payments.

The board of directors can choose to issue dividends over various time frames and with different payout rates. Dividends can be paid at a scheduled frequency, such as monthly, quarterly or annually.

Companies that pay dividends

Companies can also issue non-recurring special dividends either individually or in addition to a scheduled dividend. Backed by strong business performance and an improved financial outlook,  for instance Microsoft Corp (MSFT) declared a special dividend of $3.00 per share in 2004, which was way above the usual quarterly dividends in the range of $0.08 to $0.16 per share.

Larger, more established companies with more predictable profits are often the best dividend payers. These companies tend to issue regular dividends because they seek to maximize shareholder wealth in ways aside from normal growth. Companies in the following industry sectors are observed to be maintaining a regular record of dividend payments: Basic materials, Oil and gas, Banks and financial, Healthcare and pharmaceuticals and Utilities. Companies structured as master limited partnership (MLP) and real estate investment trust (REIT) are also top dividend payers since their designations require specified distributions to shareholders.

Certain dividend-paying companies may go as far as establishing dividend payout targets, which are based on generated profits in a given year. For example, banks typically pay out a certain percentage of their profits in the form of cash dividends. If profits decline, dividend policy can be postponed to better times.

Start-ups and other high-growth companies, such as those in the technology or biotech sectors, may not offer regular dividends.


Because these companies may be in the early stages of development and may incur high costs (as well as losses) attributed to research and development, business expansion and operational activities, they may not have sufficient funds to issue dividends. Even profit-making early- to mid-stage companies avoid making dividend payments if they are aiming for higher-than-average growth and expansion, and want to invest their profits back into their business rather than paying dividends. The business growth cycle partially explains why growth firms do not pay dividends; they need these funds to expand their operations, build factories and increase their personnel.

Important Dividend Dates

Dividend payments follow a chronological order of events and the associated dates are important to determine the shareholders who qualify for receiving the dividend payment.

  • Announcement Date: Dividends are announced by company management on the announcement date,  and must be approved by the shareholders before they can be paid. Any change in the expected dividend payment can cause the stock to rise or fall quickly as traders adjust to new expectations. The ex-dividend date and record date will occur after the declaration date. Once a dividend is declared on the announcement date, the company has a legal responsibility to pay it.
  • Ex-Dividend Date: The date on which the dividend eligibility expires is called the ex-dividend date or simply the ex-date. For instance, if a stock has an ex-date of Monday, May 5, then shareholders who buy the stock on or after that day will NOT qualify to get the dividend as they are buying it on or after the dividend expiry date. Shareholders who own the stock one business day prior to the ex-date – that is on Friday, May 2, or earlier – will receive the dividend. The value of a share of stock goes down by about the dividend amount when the stock goes ex-dividend.
  • Record Date: The record date is the cut-off date, established by the company in order to determine which shareholders are eligible to receive a dividend or distribution.
  • Payment Date: The company issues the payment of the dividend on the payment date which is when the money gets credited to investors’ accounts.

The dividend may rise on the announcement approximately by the amount of the dividend declared and then decline by a similar amount at the opening session of the ex-dividend date.

For example, a company that is trading at $50 per share declares a $5 dividend on the announcement date. As soon as the news becomes public, the share price shoots up by around $5 and hit $55. Say the stock trades at $52 one business day prior to the ex-dividend date. On the ex-dividend date, it comes down by a similar $5 and begins trading at $50 at the start of the trading session on the ex-dividend date, because anyone buying on the ex-dividend date will not receive the dividend.

Why companies pay dividend

Companies pay dividends for a variety of reasons. Dividends can be expected by the shareholders as a reward for their trust in a company. The company management may aim to honor this sentiment by delivering a robust track record of dividend payments. Dividend payments reflect positively on a company and help maintain investors’ trust.


A high-value dividend declaration can indicate that the company is doing well and has generated good profits. But it can also indicate that the company does not have suitable projects to generate better returns in the future. Therefore, it is utilizing its cash to pay shareholders instead of reinvesting it into growth

One of the simplest ways for companies to foster goodwill among their shareholders, drive demand for the stock, and communicate financial well-being and shareholder value is through paying dividends. Paying dividends sends a message about a company’s future prospects and performance. Its willingness and ability to pay steady dividends over time provides a solid demonstration of financial strength. Mature firms that believe they can increase value by reinvesting their earnings will choose not to pay dividends.

If a company has a long history of dividend payments, a reduction of the dividend amount, or its elimination, may signal to investors that the company is in trouble. The announcement of a 50% decrease in dividends from General Electric Co. (GE), one of the biggest American industrial companies, was accompanied by a decline of more than six percent in GE’s stock price on November 13, 2017.

A reduction in dividend amount or a decision against making any dividend payment may not necessarily translate into bad news about a company. It may be possible that the company’s management has better plans for investing the money, given its financials and operations. For example, a company’s management may choose to invest in a high-return project that has the potential to magnify returns for shareholders in the long run, as compared to the petty gains they will realize through dividend payments.

It could be when the pricing and conditions are just right for a stock buyback; weathering a major recession becomes the priority; or a company needs to accumulate cash on hand for a big merger or acquisition. 

Forms of dividend

A cash dividend is a payment doled out by a company to its stockholders in the form of periodic distributions of cash. Most brokers offer a choice to accept or reinvest cash dividends; reinvesting dividends is often a smart choice for investors with a long-term focus.

A stock dividend is a dividend payment to shareholders that is made in shares rather than as cash. The stock dividend has the advantage of rewarding shareholders without reducing the company’s cash balance, although it can dilute earnings per share. This type of dividend may be made when a company wants to reward its investors but doesn’t have the spare cash or wants to preserve its cash for other investments. This, however, like the cash dividend, does not increase the value of the company. If the company was priced at $10 per share, the value of the company would be $10 million. After the stock dividend, the value will remain the same, but the share price will decrease to $9.52 to adjust for the dividend payout.

Stock dividends can have a negative impact on share price in the short-term. Because it increases the number of shares outstanding while the value of the company remains stable, it dilutes the book value per common share, and the stock price is reduced accordingly.

Fund Dividends v. Company dividends

Dividends paid by funds are different from dividends paid by companies. Company dividends are usually paid from profits that are generated from the company’s business operations. Funds work on the principle of net asset value (NAV), which reflects the valuation of their holdings or the price of the asset(s) that a fund may be tracking. Since funds don’t have any intrinsic profits, they pay dividends sourced from their NAV.

Due to the NAV-based working of funds, regular and high-frequency dividend payments should not be misunderstood as a stellar performance by the fund. For example, a bond-investing fund may pay monthly dividends as it receives money in the form of monthly interest on its interest-bearing holdings. The fund is merely transferring the income from the interest fully or partially to the fund investors. A stock-investing fund may also pay dividends. Its dividends may come from the dividend(s) it receives from the stocks held in its portfolio, or by selling a certain quantity of stocks. It’s likely the investors receiving the dividend from the fund are reducing their holding value, which gets reflected in the reduced NAV on the ex-dividend date.


Arguments Against Dividends

Some financial analyst believe that the consideration of a dividend policy is irrelevant because investors have the ability to create “homemade” dividends. These analysts claim that income is achieved by investors adjusting their asset allocation in their portfolios.

For example, investors looking for a steady income stream are more likely to invest in bonds where the interest payments don’t fluctuate, rather than a dividend-paying stock, where the underlying price of the stock can fluctuate. As a result, bond investors don’t care about a particular company’s dividend policy because their interest payments from their bond investments are fixed.

Another argument against dividends claims that little to no dividend payout is more favorable for investors. Supporters of this policy point out that taxation on a dividend is higher than on a capital gain (In the US). The argument against dividends is based on the belief that a company which reinvests funds (rather than paying them out as dividends) will increase the value of the company in the long-term and, as a result, increase the market value of the stock. According to proponents of this policy, a company’s alternatives to paying out excess cash as dividends are the following: undertaking more projects, repurchasing the company’s own shares, acquiring new companies and profitable assets, and reinvesting in financial assets.

Arguments for Dividends

Proponents of dividends point out that a high dividend payout is important for investors because dividends provide certainty about the company’s financial well-being. Typically, companies that have consistently paid dividends are some of the most stable companies over the past several decades. As a result, a company that pays out a dividend attracts investors and creates demand for their stock.

Dividends are also attractive for investors looking to generate income. However, a decrease or increase in dividend distributions can affect the price of a security. The stock prices of companies that have a long-standing history of dividend payouts would be negatively affected if they reduced their dividend distributions. Conversely, companies that increased their dividend payouts or companies that instituted a new dividend policy would likely see appreciation in their stocks. Investors also see a dividend payment as a sign of a company’s strength and a sign that management has positive expectations for future earnings, which again makes the stock more attractive. A greater demand for a company’s stock will increase its price. Paying dividends sends a clear, powerful message about a company’s future prospects and performance, and its willingness and ability to pay steady dividends over time provides a solid demonstration of financial strength.


Dividend-Paying Methods:

Companies that decide to pay a dividend might use one of the three methods outlined below.

1.     Residual

Companies using the residual dividend policy choose to rely on internally generated equity to finance any new projects. As a result, dividend payments can come out of the residual or leftover equity only after all project capital requirements are met.

The benefits to this policy is that it allows a company to use their retained earnings or residual income to invest back into the company, or into other profitable projects before returning funds back to shareholders in the form of dividends.

As stated earlier, a company’s stock price fluctuates with a rising or falling dividend. If a company’s management team doesn’t believe they can adhere to a strict dividend policy with consistent payouts, it might opt for the residual method. The management team is free to pursue opportunities without being constricted by a dividend policy. However, investors might demand a higher stock price relative to companies in the same industry that have more consistent dividend payouts. Another drawback to the residual method is that it can lead to inconsistent and sporadic dividend payouts resulting in volatility in the company’s stock price.

2.     Stable

Under the stable dividend policy, companies consistently pay a dividend each year regardless of earnings fluctuations. The dividend payout amount is typically determined through forecasting long-term earnings and calculating a percentage of earnings to be paid out.

Under the stable policy, companies may create a target payout ratio, which is a percentage of earnings that is to be paid to shareholders in the long-term.

The company may choose a cyclical policy that sets dividends at a fixed fraction of quarterly earnings, or it may choose a stable policy whereby quarterly dividends are set at a fraction of yearly earnings. In either case, the aim of the stability policy is to reduce uncertainty for investors and to provide them with income.

3.    Hybrid

The final approach combines the residual and stable dividend policies. The hybrid is a popular approach for companies that pay dividends. As companies experience business cycle fluctuations, companies that use the hybrid approach establish a set dividend, which represents a relatively small portion of yearly income and can be easily maintained. In addition to the set dividend, companies can offer an extra dividend paid only when income exceeds certain benchmarks.

Is Dividend Investing a Good Strategy?

Investors should be aware of extremely high yields, since there is an inverse relationship between stock price and dividend yield and the distribution might not be sustainable. Stocks that pay dividends typically provide stability to a portfolio, but do not usually outperform high-quality growth stocks.

It may be counter-intuitive, but as a stock’s price increases, its dividend yield actually decreases. Dividend yield is a ratio of how much cash flow you are getting for each dollar invested in a stock. Many novice investors may incorrectly assume that a higher stock price correlates to a higher dividend yield. Let’s delve into how dividend yield is calculated, so we can grasp this inverse relationship.

If you own 100 shares of the ABC Corporation, the 100 shares is your basis for dividend distribution. Assume for the moment that ABC Corporation was purchased at $100 per share, which implies a total investment of $10,000. Profits at the ABC Corporation were unusually high, so the board of directors agrees to pay its shareholders $10 per share annually in the form of a cash dividend. So, as an owner of ABC Corporation for a year, your continued investment in ABC Corp result in $1,000 dollars of dividends. The annual yield is the total dividend amount ($1,000) divided by the cost of the stock ($10,000) which equals 10 percent.

If ABC Corporation was purchased at $200 per share instead, the yield would drop to five percent, since 100 shares now costs $20,000 (or your original $10,000 only gets you 50 shares, instead of 100). As illustrated above, if the price of the stock moves higher, then dividend yield drops and vice versa. From an investment strategy perspective, buying established companies with a history of good dividends adds stability to a portfolio. This is why many investing legends such as John Bogle, Warren Buffet and Benjamin Graham advocate buying stocks that pay dividends as a critical part of the total “investment” return of an asset.


The Risks to Dividends

During the 2008-2009 financial crisis, almost all of the major banks either slashed or eliminated their dividend payouts. These companies were known for consistent, stable dividend payouts each quarter for literally hundreds of years. Despite their storied histories, many dividends were cut.

In other words, dividends are not guaranteed, and are subject to macroeconomic as well as company-specific risks. Another potential downside to investing in dividend-paying stocks is that companies that pay dividends are not usually high-growth leaders. There are some exceptions, but high-growth companies usually do not pay sizable amounts of dividends to its shareholders even if they have significantly outperformed the vast majority of stocks over time. Growth companies tend to spend more dollars on research and development, capital expansion, retaining talented employees and/or mergers and acquisitions. For these companies, all earnings are considered retained earnings, and are reinvested back into the company instead of issuing a dividend to shareholders.

It is equally important to beware of companies with extraordinarily high yields. As we have learned, if a company’s stock price continues to decline, its yield goes up. Many rookie investors get teased into purchasing a stock just on the basis of a potentially juicy dividend. There is no specific rule of thumb in relation to how much is too much in terms of a dividend payout.

The average dividend yield on S&P 500 index  companies that pay a dividend historically fluctuates somewhere between 2 and 5 percent, depending on market conditions. In general, it pays to do your homework on stocks yielding more than 8 percent to find out what is truly going on with the company. Doing this due diligence will help you decipher those companies that are truly in financial shambles from those that are temporarily out of favor, and therefore present a good investment value proposition.

Once a company starts paying dividends, it is highly atypical for it to stop. Dividends are a good way to  give an investment portfolio additional stability, since the periodical cash payments are likely to continue long term. 

A company must keep growing at an above-average pace to justify reinvesting in itself rather than paying a dividend. Generally speaking, when a company’s growth slows, its stock won’t climb as much, and dividends will be necessary to keep shareholders around. The slowdown of this growth happens to virtually all companies after they attain a large market capitalization. A company will simply reach a size at which it no longer has the potential to grow at annual rates of 30% to 40%, like a small cap, regardless of how much money is plowed back into it. At a certain point, the law of large numbers makes a mega-cap company and growth rates that outperform the market an impossible combination.

There is another motivation for a company to pay dividends —a steadily increasing dividend payout is viewed as a strong indication of a company’s continuing success. The great thing about dividends is that they can’t be faked; they are either paid or not paid, increased or not increased.

This isn’t the case with earnings, which are basically an accountant’s best guess of a company’s profitability. All too often, companies must restate their past reported earnings because of aggressive accounting practices, and this can cause considerable trouble for investors, who may have already based future stock price predictions on these unreliable historical earnings. Expected groeth rates are also unreliable

Since they can be regarded as quasi-bonds, dividend-paying stocks tend to exhibit pricing characteristics that are moderately different from those of growth stocks. This is because they provide regular income that is similar to a bond, but they still provide investors with the potential to benefit from share price appreciation if the company does well.

Investors looking for exposure to the growth potential of the equity market and the safety of the (moderately) fixed income provided by dividends should consider adding stocks with high dividend yields to their portfolio. A portfolio with dividend-paying stocks is likely to see less price volatility than a growth stock portfolio. 


Misconceptions About Dividend Stocks

The biggest misconception of dividend stocks is that a high yield is always a good thing. Many dividend investors simply choose a collection of the highest dividend-paying stock and hope for the best. For a number of reasons, this is not always a good idea. 

Dividend Stocks are Always Boring. Some of the best traits a dividend stock can have are the announcement of a new dividend, high dividend growth metrics over recent years, or the potential to commit more and raise the dividend (even if the current yield is low). Any of these announcements can jolt the stock price and result in a greater total return. Sure, trying to predict management’s dividends and whether a dividend stock will go up in the future is not easy, but there are several indicators.  If a stock has a low dividend payout ratio but it is generating high levels of free cash flow, it obviously has room to increase its dividend. Earnings growth is one indicator but also keep an eye on cash flow and revenues as well. If a company is growing organically (i.e. increased foot traffic, sales, margins), then it may only be a matter of time before the dividend is increased. However, if a company’s growth is coming from high-risk investments or international expansion then a dividend could be less certain

Dividend Stocks are Always Safe. Just because a company is producing dividends doesn’t always make it a safe bet. Management can use the dividend to placate frustrated investors when the stock isn’t moving. (In fact, many companies have been known to do this.) Therefore, to avoid dividend traps, it’s always important to at least consider how management is using the dividend in its corporate strategy. Dividends that are consolation prizes to investors for a lack of growth are almost always bad ideas. 

Compounding Effect

If dividends are re-invested it can create a compounding effect as show in the graphs below gathered from visualcapitalist.

Figures retrieved from https://www.visualcapitalist.com/power-dividend-investing/

Dividend Yield

The dividend yield, expressed as a percentage, is a financial ratio (dividend/price) that shows how much a company pays out in dividends each year relative to its stock price.

The dividend yield is an estimate of the dividend-only return of a stock investment. Assuming the dividend is not raised or lowered, the yield will rise when the price of the stock falls. Because dividend yields change relative to the stock price, it can often look unusually high for stocks that are falling in value quickly.

Figure retrieved from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dividend_yield

The dividend yield can be calculated from the last full year’s financial report. This is acceptable during the first few months after the company has released its annual report; however, the longer it has been since the annual report, the less relevant that data is for investors. Alternatively, investors can also add the last four quarters of dividends, which captures the trailing 12 months of dividend data. Using a trailing dividend number is acceptable, but it can make the yield too high or too low if the dividend has recently been cut or raised.

Because dividends are paid quarterly, many investors will take the last quarterly dividend, multiply it by four, and use the product as the annual dividend for the yield calculation. This approach will reflect any recent changes in the dividend, but not all companies pay an even quarterly dividend. Some firms, especially outside the U.S., pay a small quarterly dividend with a large annual dividend. If the dividend calculation is performed after the large dividend distribution, it will give an inflated yield. Finally, some companies pay a dividend more frequently than quarterly. A monthly dividend could result in a dividend yield calculation that is too low. When deciding how to calculate the dividend yield, an investor should look at the history of dividend payments to decide which method will give the most accurate results.

Historical evidence suggests that a focus on dividends may amplify returns rather than slow them down. For example, according to analysts at Hartford Funds, since 1970, 78% of the total returns from the S&500 are from dividends. This assumption is based on the fact that investors are likely to reinvest their dividends back into the S&P 500, which then compounds their ability to earn more dividends in the future.

When comparing measures of corporate dividends,  it’s important to note that the dividend yield tells you what the simple rate of return is in the form of cash dividends to shareholders. However, the dividend payout ratio represents how much of a company’s net earnings are paid out as dividends. While the dividend yield is the more commonly used term, many believe the dividend payout ratio is a better indicator of a company’s ability to distribute dividends consistently in the future. The dividend payout ratio is highly connected to a company’s cash flow.

The dividend yield shows how much a company has paid out in dividends over the course of a year. The yield is presented as a percentage, not as an actual dollar amount. This makes it easier to see how much return the shareholder can expect to receive per dollar they have invested.

A forward dividend yield is the percentage of a company’s current stock price that it expects to pay out as dividends over a certain time period, generally 12 months. Forward dividend yields are generally used in circumstances where the yield is predictable based on past instances. If not, trailing yields, which indicate the same value over the previous 12 months, are used.

Figure retrieved from https://www.visualcapitalist.com/power-dividend-investing/


A dividend aristocrat is a company that has increased its dividends for at least 25 consecutive years.

Dividend Payout Ratio

The dividend payout ratio is the ratio of the total amount of dividends paid out to shareholders relative to the net income of the company. It is the percentage of earnings paid to shareholders in dividends. The amount that is not paid to shareholders is retained by the company to pay off debt or to reinvest in core operations. It is sometimes simply referred to as the ‘payout ratio.’

The dividend payout ratio provides an indication of how much money a company is returning to shareholders versus how much it is keeping on hand to reinvest in growth, pay off debt, or add to cash reserves (retained earnings). 

Retrieved from https://www.educba.com/payout-ratio-formula/

Dividend Payout Ratio=1−Retention Ratio​

Retention Ratio=(EPS−DPS)/EPS

Some companies pay out all their earnings to shareholders, while some only pay out a portion of their earnings. If a company pays out some of its earnings as dividends, the remaining portion is retained by the business. To measure the level of earnings retained, the retention ratio is calculated.

Several considerations go into interpreting the dividend payout ratio, most importantly the company’s level of maturity. A new, growth-oriented company that aims to expand, develop new products, and move into new markets would be expected to reinvest most or all of its earnings and could be forgiven for having a low or even zero payout ratio. The payout ratio is 0% for companies that do not pay dividends and is 100% for companies that pay out their entire net income as dividends.

The payout ratio is also useful for assessing a dividend’s sustainability. Companies are extremely reluctant to cut dividends since it can drive the stock price down and reflect poorly on management’s abilities. If a company’s payout ratio is over 100%, it is returning more money to shareholders than it is earning and will probably be forced to lower the dividend or stop paying it altogether. That result is not inevitable, however. A company endures a bad year without suspending payouts, and it is often in their interest to do so. It is therefore important to consider future earnings expectations and calculate a forward-looking payout ratio to contextualize the backward-looking one.

Long-term trends in the payout ratio also matter. A steadily rising ratio could indicate a healthy, maturing business, but a spiking one could mean the dividend is heading into unsustainable territory.

The retention ratio is a converse concept to the dividend payout ratio. The dividend payout ratio evaluates the percentage of profits earned that a company pays out to its shareholders, while the retention ratio represents the percentage of profits earned that are retained by or reinvested in the company.

Dividend payouts vary widely by industry, and like most ratios, they are most useful to compare within a given industry

The augmented payout ratio incorporates share buybacks into the metric; it is calculated by dividing the sum of dividends and buybacks by net income for the same period. If the result is too high, it can indicate an emphasis on short-term boosts to share prices at the expense of reinvestment and long-term growth. Another adjustment that can be made to provide a more accurate picture is to subtract preferred stock dividends for companies that issue preferred shares.

Dividends Per Share

Dividends per share (DPS) measures the total amount of profits a company pays out to its shareholders, generally over a year, on a per-share basis. DPS can be calculated by subtracting the special dividends from the sum of all dividends over one year and dividing this figure by the outstanding shares

Retrieved from https://www.tickertape.in/glossary/dividend-per-share-meaning/

There are two primary reasons for increases in a company’s dividends per share payout.

  1. The first is simply an increase in the company’s net profits out of which dividends are paid. If the company is performing well and cash flows are improving, there is more room to pay shareholders higher dividends. In this context, a dividend hike is a positive indicator of company performance.
  2. The second reason a company might hike its dividend is because of a shift in the company’s growth strategy, which leads the company to expend less of its cash flow and earnings on growth and expansion, thus leaving a larger share of profits available to be returned to equity investors in the form of dividends.

Dividend Growth Rate

Dividend growth calculates the annualized average rate of increase in the dividends paid by a company. Calculating the dividend growth rate is necessary for using a dividend discount model for valuing stocks.  The dividend discount model is a type of security-pricing model. The dividend discount model assumes that the estimated future dividends–discounted by the excess of internal growth over the company’s estimated dividend growth rate–determines a given stock’s price. If the dividend discount model procedure results in a higher number than the current prize of a company’s shares, the model considers the stock undervalued. Investors who use the dividend discount model believe that by estimating the expected value of cash flow in the future, they can find the intrinsic value of a specific stock. A history of strong dividend growth could mean future dividend growth is likely, which can signal long-term profitability.

Dividend capture strategy

A dividend capture strategy is a timing-oriented investment strategy involving the timed purchase and subsequent sale of dividend-paying stocks. Dividend capture is specifically calls for buying a stock just prior to the ex-dividend date in order to receive the dividend, then selling it immediately after the dividend is paid.The purpose of the two trades is simply to receive the dividend, as opposed to investing for the longer term. Because markets tend to be somewhat efficient, stocks usually decline in value immediately following ex-dividend, the viability of this strategy has come into question.

Theoretically, the dividend capture strategy shouldn’t work. If markets operated with perfect logic, then the dividend amount would be exactly reflected in the share price until the ex-dividend date, when the stock price would fall by exactly the dividend amount. Since markets do not operate with such mathematical perfection, it doesn’t usually happen that way. Most often, a trader captures a substantial portion of the dividend despite selling the stock at a slight loss following the ex-dividend date. A typical example would be a stock trading at $20 per share, paying a $1 dividend, falling in price on the ex-date only down to $19.50, which enables a trader to realize a net profit of $0.50, successfully capturing half the dividend in profit.

Transaction costs further decrease the sum of realized returns. The potential gains from a pure dividend capture strategy are typically small, while possible losses can be considerable if a negative market movement occurs within the holding period.  A drop in stock value on the ex-date which exceeds the amount of the dividend may force the investor to maintain the position for an extended period of time, introducing systematic and company-specific risk into the strategy. Adverse market movements can quickly eliminate any potential gains from this dividend capture approach. In order to minimize these risks, the strategy should be focused on short term holdings of large blue-chip companies. If dividend capture was consistently profitable, computer-driven investment strategies would have already exploited this opportunity.

Analysis Check

  1. Notable dividend: Is the companies dividend notable compared to the bottom 25% of dividend players in the country’s(eg. Norwegian) market.
  2. High dividend: How does the companies dividend compare to the top 25% of dividend players in the country’s market.
  3. Stable dividend: Have the dividend payments been stable in the past 10 years
  4. Growing dividend: Have the dividend payments grown over the last 10 years.
  5. Dividend coverage: Are the dividend covered by the earnings. Look at payout ratio.
  6. Future dividend coverage: is the dividend forecasted to be covered by earnings in three years? Look at payout ratio.

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